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UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pereira v Michailidis Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Pereira 7
0 Michailidis
USADWW pick Pereira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3 VS 13-6 Michailidis
6'4" height
251 lb weight
79" reach
38 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 2.9
54% striking accuracy 51%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
61% striking defence 44%
0.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
0% takedown accuracy 27%
92% takedown defence 50%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alex Pereira “i'm gonna go with Alex Pereira”
WP We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE “i do think Alex Pereira will get it done i think it'll probably be a stoppage later in the second round” $92.00
AM Artem MMA picks Alex Pereira VALUE “i think we're going to see a submission here”
WP We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE “i gotta go with alex here” $1.39
WP We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE “he may go out there knock this dude out early score a million EVENT_DETAILS” $92.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Alex Pereira VALUE “i like Alex Pereira ... he's going to be a kickboxing fight in the ufc so there you go world champion kickboxer go ahead and take that one”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Alex Pereira “i'm gonna pick the brazilian” $1.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alex Pereira VALUE “i personally think Alex Pereira is going to knock him out”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alex Pereira “my prediction on this one guys i'm going to say meech leaders uses that smart game plan” $3.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L Gane KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Ankalaev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Ankalaev Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R4 Oct '24
W Procházka KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
Michailidis13-6
L Fakhretdinov Decision · R3 Jun '22
L Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Nov '21
W Bhullar Decision · R3 May '21
L Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Jul '20