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Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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FE
Vera vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight
SB
BQ
Burgos vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
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MC
Gaethje vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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AM
Pereira vs MichailidisPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BG
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Green vs IaquintaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CC
PH
Curtis vs HawesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NI
ES
Imavov vs ShahbazyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
IG
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Garry vs WilliamsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
CB
GV
Barnett vs VillanteEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
DJ
JA
Jacoby vs AllanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Baghdasaryan vs SouzaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Osbourne vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Machado Garry v Williams
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0
VS
9-6 Williams
6'3"
height
6'1"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
76"
28
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
5.8
55%
striking accuracy
50%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.5
52%
striking defence
35%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
55%
takedown accuracy
50%
69%
takedown defence
85%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
KU
Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Ian Machado Garry's the safest pick on this card at 9 500. Jordan Williams is trash i think Ian Machado Garry's going to get a finish”
Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Ian Machado Garry's the safest pick on this card at 9 500. Jordan Williams is trash i think Ian Machado Garry's going to get a finish”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jordan Williams
“i just don't like his his defense right if he starts getting hit he's got that chin up”
We Want Picks picks Jordan Williams
“i just don't like his his defense right if he starts getting hit he's got that chin up”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“if he stays on the offensive and kind of blitzes uh Jordan Williams i think he can have some real success”
$96.00
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“if he stays on the offensive and kind of blitzes uh Jordan Williams i think he can have some real success”
$96.00
AM
Artem MMA picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i've got Ian Machado Garry to get this one done inside the distance”
Artem MMA picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i've got Ian Machado Garry to get this one done inside the distance”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“i would pick Ian Machado Garry but i'm not going to pay the 9 500 for him and i would not pay uh 350 odds for for that man so yeah i agree this is definitely closer than than these odds”
$1.29
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“i would pick Ian Machado Garry but i'm not going to pay the 9 500 for him and i would not pay uh 350 odds for for that man so yeah i agree this is definitely closer than than these odds”
$1.29
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“everything in this fight lines up for Ian Machado Garry he just went five five minute rounds with the guy who's really really tough this is an easy win they're telling you who they want to win don't mess this one up either Ian Machado Garry alex pereira”
Santino DeFranco picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“everything in this fight lines up for Ian Machado Garry he just went five five minute rounds with the guy who's really really tough this is an easy win they're telling you who they want to win don't mess this one up either Ian Machado Garry alex pereira”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Ian Machado Garry
“i'm definitely taking the irishman to win the fight Ian Machado Garry”
$1.27
Walk The Line MMA picks Ian Machado Garry
“i'm definitely taking the irishman to win the fight Ian Machado Garry”
$1.27
KU
Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i'm going to lock them into the first look”
Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i'm going to lock them into the first look”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i do really think he wins i i do like him to win quite a bit”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i do really think he wins i i do like him to win quite a bit”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i'm going to take Ian Machado Garry to get a nice debut win”
$1.29
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“i'm going to take Ian Machado Garry to get a nice debut win”
$1.29
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24
Williams9-6
L
Garry
Nov '21
L
Gall
Jul '21
L
Imavov
Oct '20