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UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Imavov v Shahbazyan Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Imavov 1
5 Shahbazyan
M pick Imavov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Imavov 17-4 VS 16-5 Shahbazyan
6'3" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 75"
30 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.3
57% striking accuracy 44%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
54% striking defence 66%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
64% takedown accuracy 44%
89% takedown defence 72%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nassourdine Imavov “Nassourdine Imavov the russian sniper gets it done”
KU Kunath picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “if nasserdini mauve tries to stand on the outside and strike with Edmen Shahbazyan we're going to see edmund get back on track and Edmen Shahbazyan and scores a bunch of points with the knockout finish”
WP We Want Picks picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “i do think i have him to win this fight i do think he's live here” $78.00
WP We Want Picks picks Nassourdine Imavov “everybody's all over nasser dean to take Edmen Shahbazyan down keep him down beat him up”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Edmen Shahbazyan “it's taking Edmen Shahbazyan”
WP We Want Picks picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “i'm gonna go with Edmen Shahbazyan here” $2.10
WP We Want Picks picks Nassourdine Imavov “i'm gonna go Nassourdine Imavov on this side” $1.77
WP We Want Picks picks Nassourdine Imavov “i have edmond winning this fight” $96.00
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Edmen Shahbazyan “i'm leaning towards alma bob's way i like i'm involved there” $1.77
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “if he does win it's probably in the first round he probably catches Nassourdine Imavov early”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “i'm gonna take Nassourdine Imavov to take advantage of the cardio of edmund shabazzian” $1.67
Recent form last five, most recent first
Imavov17-4
W Borralho Decision · R5 Sep '25
W Adesanya KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Cannonier KO/TKO · R4 Jun '24
W Dolidze Decision · R5 Feb '24
Shahbazyan16-5
L Allen Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Muniz KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Petroski Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Budka KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Meerschaert Submission · R2 Aug '24