MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Choose a fight to analyse
KU CC Usman vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight RN ZW Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MV FE Vera vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight SB BQ Burgos vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight JG MC Gaethje vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight AP AM Pereira vs MichailidisPreliminary Card · Middleweight BG AI Green vs IaquintaPreliminary Card · Lightweight CC PH Curtis vs HawesPreliminary Card · Middleweight NI ES Imavov vs ShahbazyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight IG JW Garry vs WilliamsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight CB GV Barnett vs VillanteEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight DJ JA Jacoby vs AllanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MB BS Baghdasaryan vs SouzaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight OO CV Osbourne vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Osbourne v Vergara Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Osbourne 3
4 Vergara
SDW pick Osbourne
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Osbourne 13-9 VS 12-6-1 Vergara
5'7" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 126 lb
73" reach 68"
34 age 35
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 5.1
40% striking accuracy 56%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
45% striking defence 53%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
28% takedown accuracy 0%
63% takedown defence 60%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KU Kunath picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i think the right side of this fight is C.J. Vergara i think he's the more durable fighter i think he's probably hungrier he's going to bring the fight and if he looked anything like he did on his contender series bout then he's probably going to put oday osborne away early”
AM Artem MMA picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i do think cj vergara is going to get the job done by ko”
WP We Want Picks picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “i'm gonna go with Ode' Osbourne here”
WP We Want Picks picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “i do i do think Ode' Osbourne wins i think he can get a EVENT_DETAILS here” $88.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “i like Ode' Osbourne uh i i was never impressed with C.J. Vergara that was actually the worst loss i think i've ever had was him beating Bruno Souza korea on contender series i was so obsessed with Bruno Souza korea and he just dismantled him and i was devastated um now all that for the very last fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i'm gonna roll with fergara here” $2.45
KU Kunath picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i'm going to plug him into the first look lineup”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “i think more than likely Ode' Osbourne does get the win here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i'm gonna take the contender series guy cj vargara” $2.20
Recent form last five, most recent first
Osbourne13-9
L Idiris Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Erceg Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Gurule KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Filho Submission · R1 Mar '24
Vergara12-6-1
L Cháirez Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Temirov KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Almabayev Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Salvador Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Mar '23