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Baghdasaryan vs SouzaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Osbourne vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
CC
Usman vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight
RN
ZW
Namajunas vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
MV
FE
Vera vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight
SB
BQ
Burgos vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
JG
MC
Gaethje vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
AP
AM
Pereira vs MichailidisPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BG
AI
Green vs IaquintaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CC
PH
Curtis vs HawesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NI
ES
Imavov vs ShahbazyanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
IG
JW
Garry vs WilliamsEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
CB
GV
Barnett vs VillanteEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
DJ
JA
Jacoby vs AllanEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MB
BS
Baghdasaryan vs SouzaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
OO
CV
Osbourne vs VergaraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Prophecy read
Baghdasaryan v Souza
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Baghdasaryan 8-3
VS
10-3 Souza
5'9"
height
—
145 lb
weight
—
70"
reach
—
34
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.3
strikes landed / min
3.7
61%
striking accuracy
39%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
5.3
58%
striking defence
45%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
0%
takedown accuracy
16%
72%
takedown defence
60%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
KU
Kunath picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“i have him in 100 percent of my lineup i would be shocked if he lost i think Melsik Baghdasaryan is going to have a fight”
Kunath picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“i have him in 100 percent of my lineup i would be shocked if he lost i think Melsik Baghdasaryan is going to have a fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Bruno Souza VALUE
“i think his stay away style and baghdasserians come charging forward style sort of clash one of them is going to execute well”
We Want Picks picks Bruno Souza VALUE
“i think his stay away style and baghdasserians come charging forward style sort of clash one of them is going to execute well”
WP
We Want Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“i think susan's gonna give an opinion yet okay loses a bum”
$93.00
We Want Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“i think susan's gonna give an opinion yet okay loses a bum”
$93.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“i would choose two is that um Melsik Baghdasaryan especially because Bruno Souza missed weight by two and a half pounds”
We Want Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“i would choose two is that um Melsik Baghdasaryan especially because Bruno Souza missed weight by two and a half pounds”
AM
Artem MMA picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“i've got Melsik Baghdasaryan by ko in this fight here”
Artem MMA picks Melsik Baghdasaryan
“i've got Melsik Baghdasaryan by ko in this fight here”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“i like Melsik Baghdasaryan ... melcik is going to brutalize him i i don't want to put a crazy amount of money that's one that i really just want to enjoy”
Santino DeFranco picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“i like Melsik Baghdasaryan ... melcik is going to brutalize him i i don't want to put a crazy amount of money that's one that i really just want to enjoy”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Baghdasaryan8-3
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
L
Silva
Feb '25
W
Lutz
Jul '23
L
Culibao
Feb '23
W
Souza
Nov '21
Souza10-3
L
Saldaña
Mar '22
L
Baghdasaryan
Nov '21