MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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IA JP Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight AG MB Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JE LD Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight MA YB Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight TM KN McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight IB TM Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight CH LJ Hooper vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight MT TF Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CO GF O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS BL Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight RS AY Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AT BB Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC NP Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Bahamondes over Musayev · Lightweight Our fair value$1.28 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.35
Where to back Bahamondes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.28
US Bovada $1.34 +4%
UK Paddy Power $1.33 +4%
EU Pinnacle $1.35 +5%
AU TAB $1.33 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.37
Consensus113 picks · conf 92/99
Bahamondes 100
13 Musayev
TTPIDU pick Bahamondes
How it endsmethod calls · Bahamondes · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $5.13
Submission 2 $5.13
Decision 4 $2.57
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bahamondes 0-0 VS 22-6 Musayev
6'3" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 163 lb
75" reach 69"
28 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.2 strikes landed / min —
47% striking accuracy —
4.4 strikes absorbed / min —
57% striking defence —
0.0 takedowns / 15 min —
0% takedown accuracy —
85% takedown defence —
0.3 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market78% vs 74%
Consensus100 of 113 analysts
Sharpest angleBahamondes by Decision — 4 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Bahamondes @ $1.35 · fair $1.28 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I feel like this is Ignacio Bahamondes's fight to win.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes “This this should be a first round starching from Ignacio Bahamondes.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Ignacio Bahamondes “We're going to go with Ignacio Bahamondes.”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I think this is going to be points um to Ignacio Bahamondes”
US Uselyis picks Ignacio Bahamondes VALUE $1.32
PT Premier TV picks Ignacio Bahamondes “Ignacio Bahamondes should be negative 500.” $1.20
DY DylanMMA picks Tofiq Musayev “I'll go Tofiq Musayev by submission early in”
DY DylanMMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_35 going go with Ignacio Bahamondes pretty easily here.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes “Maybe I'd go for second round sub for Ignacio Bahamondes in this one versus Tofiq Musayev.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Ignacio Bahamondes “think Ignacio Bahamondes wins this fight ... So give me Ignacio Bahamondes.”
CS Connor Smith picks Tofiq Musayev “I'm going to go with Tofiq Musayev in this fight.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ignacio Bahamondes “And I like Ignacio Bahamondes... Ignacio Bahamondes kind of has that tall man's Ignacio Bahamondes to get it done. against Tofiq Musayev.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bahamondes0-0
L Musayev Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Fiziev Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Turner Submission · R1 Mar '25
W Torres KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Giagos KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
Musayev22-6
W Bahamondes Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Orolbai Submission · R1 Jun '25