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O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
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Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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LD
Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight
MA
YB
Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight
TM
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McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight
IB
TM
Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CH
LJ
Hooper vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight
MT
TF
Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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GF
O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
NS
BL
Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
RS
AY
Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AT
BB
Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Fernandes
over O'Neill · Women'S Flyweight
Our fair value$1.93
BetUS · US
$2.05
Unibet (UK) · UK
$2.02
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$2.05
Where to back Fernandes
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.93
US
BetUS
$2.05
+6%
BetUS
$2.05
+6%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$2.02
+5%
Unibet (UK)
$2.02
+5%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.06
+7%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$2.05
+6%
Ladbrokes AU
$2.05
+6%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.13
How it endsmethod calls · Fernandes · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$25.06
Decision
12
$2.09
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
O'Neill 10-2
VS
0-0 Fernandes
5'6"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
69"
reach
66"
28
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
7.9
strikes landed / min
3.5
52%
striking accuracy
46%
5.7
strikes absorbed / min
5.5
57%
striking defence
49%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
34%
takedown accuracy
18%
70%
takedown defence
60%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market52% vs 49%
Consensus62 of 104 analysts
Sharpest angleFernandes by Decision — 12 of 13 method calls
Recommendation
Back Fernandes @ $2.06 · fair $1.93
+7% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
IJB MMA picks Gabriella Fernandes
“I think Gabriella Fernandes is going to be able to freaking submit her.”
CM
CornerTalk MMA picks Gabriella Fernandes
“So for that reason, I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 going with Gabriella Fernandes.”
MM
MASKED MMA picks Gabriella Fernandes
“I'm going with Gabriel Fernandez.”
CE
CeilingMMA picks Gabriella Fernandes VALUE
“I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10. She's like she's more of a man than Casey O'Neill. She hits like decently hard. She's got like decent grappling, too. So, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 by decision.”
BN
By The Numbers picks Gabriella Fernandes VALUE
“I think she's going to club and sub you... I think Gabriella Fernandes round two submission.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Casey O'Neill
“we just feel uh Casey O'Neill's volume is going to edge it out for the win.”
AN
AntUFC picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“I'll go with Casey O'Neill here”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Casey O'Neill
“Gabriella Fernandes is going to lose this fight um by decision.”
NA
NarcoCopMMA picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“I don't think Casey O'Neill, Gabriella Fernandes Gabriella Fernandes, I think she hits Casey O'Neill”
PT
Premier TV picks Gabriella Fernandes
“I got a unit on uh Mansur Abdul-Malik, Chase Hooper, and Gabriella Fernandes money lines.”
PT
Premier TV picks Casey O'Neill
“I like Casey O'Neill, and I like uh Alexa Grasso.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
O'Neill10-2
W
Fernandes
Mar '26
W
Santos
Aug '24
L
Lipski
Dec '23
L
Maia
Mar '23
W
Modafferi
Feb '22
Fernandes0-0
L
O'Neill
Mar '26
W
Stoliarenko
Aug '25
W
Cong
Nov '24
W
Judice
Jun '24
L
Bledá
Jun '23