MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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IA JP Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight AG MB Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JE LD Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight MA YB Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight TM KN McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight IB TM Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight CH LJ Hooper vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight MT TF Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CO GF O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS BL Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight RS AY Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AT BB Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC NP Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Thainara over Brasil · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$1.12 Coolbet pays above fair $1.15
Where to back Thainara best price · region · EV vs fair $1.12
US Bovada $1.13 +1%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.13 +1%
EU Coolbet $1.15 +2%
AU TAB $1.14 +2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.14
Consensus157 picks · conf 99/99
Thainara 147
10 Brasil
TCPIDA pick Thainara
How it endsmethod calls · Thainara · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $41.57
Submission 10 $4.16
Decision 26 $1.60
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Thainara 0-0 VS 11-6-1 Brasil
5'4" height 5'6"
115 lb weight 116 lb
67" reach 65"
30 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.3 strikes landed / min 2.9
55% striking accuracy 61%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
50% striking defence 50%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
51% takedown accuracy 72%
78% takedown defence 59%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market89% vs 87%
Consensus147 of 157 analysts
Sharpest angleThainara by Decision — 26 of 37 method calls
Recommendation Back Thainara @ $1.15 · fair $1.12 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM IJB MMA picks Alexia Thainara “I think it's just a clear win, easy win for Alexia Thainara.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Alexia Thainara “Alexia Thainara's better everywhere. Alexia Thainara is going to outstrike Bruna Brasil.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Alexia Thainara “Otherwise, she's probably going to lose to Alexia Thainara based on her much superior ground game.”
CM Crashout MMA picks Alexia Thainara VALUE “Alexia Thainara is going to win.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Alexia Thainara VALUE $1.12
CN Cameron Nigro picks Alexia Thainara VALUE $1.12
BN By The Numbers picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “I really wanted to go Alexa Grasso Thin in this rematch... But I think Bruna Brasil may get this done via decision, dude. or submission... I'm just going to have to pick Bruno Brazil.” $6.50
AN AntUFC picks Alexia Thainara VALUE “I have Alexia Thainara Thanara by decision”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Alexia Thainara “I'm going to go with uh Alexia Thainara”
PT Premier TV picks Alexia Thainara “Alexia Thainara, Michael Chiesa, Michael Chiesa all day.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Alexia Thainara “I think Alexia Thainara is going to be able to get her down, be active on top, and look for subs.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “I'm going to break out by Kyle Nelson. But, uh, McKenna is out Kyle Nelson pretty early in this fight between Julian Erosa taking on Larry and Douglas.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Thainara0-0
W Brasil Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Sep '25
W McCann Submission · R1 Mar '25
Brasil11-6-1
L Thainara Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Souza Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cong Decision · R3 Feb '25
W McCann Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Feb '24