MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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IA JP Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight AG MB Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JE LD Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight MA YB Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight TM KN McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight IB TM Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight CH LJ Hooper vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight MT TF Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CO GF O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS BL Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight RS AY Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AT BB Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC NP Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Tybura over Fortune · Heavyweight Our fair value$2.15 Caesars pays above fair $2.18
Where to back Tybura best price · region · EV vs fair $2.15
US Caesars $2.18 +1%
UK LeoVegas $2.16 +0%
EU NordicBet $2.17 +1%
AU Unibet $2.16 +0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.17
Consensus129 picks · conf 99/99
Tybura 64
65 Fortune
PDKBGG pick Tybura
How it endsmethod calls · Tybura · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $8.60
Submission 1 $17.20
Decision 5 $3.44
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tybura 27-10 VS 17-3 Fortune
6'3" height 6'2"
256 lb weight 255 lb
78" reach 77"
40 age 35
Orthodox stance --
2.5 strikes landed / min —
45% striking accuracy —
4.4 strikes absorbed / min —
69% striking defence —
2.6 takedowns / 15 min —
55% takedown accuracy —
87% takedown defence —
0.9 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market47% vs 46%
Consensus64 of 129 analysts
Sharpest angleTybura by Decision — 5 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Tybura @ $2.18 · fair $2.15 +1% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM IJB MMA picks Tyrell Fortune “Tyrell Fortune, I think, is going to beat Marcin Tybura.”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Marcin Tybura “gun to my head, I'd have to take Marcin Tybura.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Tyrell Fortune “I'm going to go with Tyrell Fortune here because Marcin Tybura, honestly, in hindsight, the antidha loss isn't that good.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “Worst fight of the night prediction. Give me Marcin Tybura to beat Tyrell Fortune in the worst fight of the night.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Tyrell Fortune VALUE “I think Tyrell Fortune chins march into early.”
BN By The Numbers picks Tyrell Fortune VALUE “I think Tyora gets this done easily. Uh, first round submission for Martian Tybora.” $2.15
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Tyrell Fortune “I've got Tyrell for uh Tyrell Fortune winning this by late uh or But by round one, possibly round two KO”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Tyrell Fortune VALUE “I like Tyrell Fortune here”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “I had a bet on Marcin Tybura”
US Uselyis picks Marcin Tybura VALUE $2.20
PT Premier TV picks Marcin Tybura “I'm willing to bet on him, bro.”
DY DylanMMA picks Marcin Tybura “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_35 gonna go with Marcin Tybura just because why not?”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tybura27-10
L Fortune Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Delija KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Parkin Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
L Spivac Submission · R1 Aug '24
Fortune17-3
W Tybura Decision · R3 Mar '26