MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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IA JP Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight AG MB Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JE LD Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight MA YB Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight TM KN McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight IB TM Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight CH LJ Hooper vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight MT TF Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CO GF O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS BL Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight RS AY Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AT BB Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC NP Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Hooper over Gibson Jr. · Lightweight Our fair value$1.31 LeoVegas (SE) pays above fair $1.36
Where to back Hooper best price · region · EV vs fair $1.31
US FanDuel $1.32 +1%
UK Paddy Power $1.33 +2%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $1.36 +4%
AU TAB $1.35 +3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.35
Consensus125 picks · conf 99/99
Hooper 104
21 Gibson Jr.
CIPUPR pick Hooper
How it endsmethod calls · Hooper · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $26.11
Submission 13 $2.01
Decision 6 $4.35
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hooper 16-4-1 VS 9-2 Gibson Jr.
6'1" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 158 lb
74" reach 72"
26 age 31
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.1 strikes landed / min 1.2
52% striking accuracy 75%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 6.4
36% striking defence 20%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
24% takedown accuracy 0%
55% takedown defence 0%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 74%
Consensus104 of 125 analysts
Sharpest angleHooper by Submission — 13 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Hooper @ $1.36 · fair $1.31 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Chase Hooper “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_103 going to pick Chase Hooper just based off experience.”
CM Crashout MMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm going to pick safe Chase Hooper.”
PI PibbleMMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm going to pick Chase Hooper here.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Chase Hooper “We're going to roll with him.”
AN AntUFC picks Chase Hooper “I'm going to go with Chase Hooper”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Chase Hooper “Chase Hooper all the way.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm just going to go with Chase Hooper sub”
US Uselyis picks Chase Hooper VALUE $1.32
PT Premier TV picks Lance Gibson Jr. “I really think Lance Gibson Jr. is going to get it done against Chase Hooper.” $3.55
DY DylanMMA picks Chase Hooper “By submission, I weird. They gave him Chase Hooper.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Chase Hooper “I'm going Chase Hooper by sub mid to late rounds once he builds into the fight a little better”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Chase Hooper “so I'll say Chase Hooper wins this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hooper16-4-1
L Jr. KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Guida Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Borshchev Submission · R2 May '24
Gibson Jr.9-2
W Hooper KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Green Decision · R3 Dec '25