MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
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IA JP Adesanya vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight AG MB Grasso vs BarberMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JE LD Erosa vs DouglasMain Card · Featherweight MA YB Abdul-Malik vs BelgarouiMain Card · Middleweight TM KN McKinney vs NelsonMain Card · Lightweight IB TM Bahamondes vs MusayevPreliminary Card · Lightweight CH LJ Hooper vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Lightweight MT TF Tybura vs FortunePreliminary Card · Heavyweight CO GF O'Neill vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight NS BL Stirling vs LopesPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight RS AY Simón vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AT BB Thainara vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MC NP Chiesa vs PriceMain Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Stirling over Lopes · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.14 Hard Rock Bet pays above fair $1.19
Where to back Stirling best price · region · EV vs fair $1.14
US Hard Rock Bet $1.19 +4%
UK Grosvenor $1.15 +0%
EU Coolbet $1.16 +1%
AU TABtouch $1.15 +0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.16
Consensus131 picks · conf 99/99
Stirling 123
8 Lopes
PIBTWJ pick Stirling
How it endsmethod calls · Stirling · crowd line
KO/TKO 11 $2.18
Decision 10 $2.40
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Stirling 9-0 VS 14-3 Lopes
6'4" height 6'2"
205 lb weight 206 lb
79" reach 74"
28 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 2.1
45% striking accuracy 36%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
52% striking defence 57%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
28% takedown accuracy 46%
61% takedown defence 88%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market87% vs 84%
Consensus123 of 131 analysts
Sharpest angleStirling by KO/TKO — 11 of 21 method calls
Recommendation Back Stirling @ $1.19 · fair $1.14 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM IJB MMA picks Navajo Stirling “I already know Navajo Stirling is going to win”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Navajo Stirling “I think uh Navajo Stirling is going to knock out Bruno Lopes.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Navajo Stirling “Navajo Stirling, first round KO I'm going with.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Navajo Stirling “I'm going to pick Navajo Stirling. I am going to pick Navajo Stirling.”
PI PibbleMMA picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “Navajo Stirling should he's supposed to Navajo Stirling who's like squeaking out.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “I'm going to say he he knocks out Bruno Lopez in like round two or three.”
BN By The Numbers picks Bruno Lopes “Navajo Stirling, Bruno Lopes, it's gonna be a Navajo Stirling finish.”
BN By The Numbers picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “Navajo Stirling, Bruno Lopes, it's gonna be a Navajo Stirling finish. I think it's going to be a round I think one or two knockout... Round one KO. All right.” $1.15
AN AntUFC picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “Going to go with Navajo Stirling”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Navajo Stirling “I'm going to go round two finish for Navajo Stirling.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “Navajo Stirling two, the 10 and two”
US Uselyis picks Navajo Stirling VALUE $1.17
Recent form last five, most recent first
Stirling9-0
W Cuțelaba KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Bellato Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Erslan Decision · R3 May '25
W Tokkos Decision · R3 Dec '24
Lopes14-3
L Stirling KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
L Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Gadzhiyasulov Decision · R3 Jan '25