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Krylov vs GustafssonMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Blaydes v Aspinall
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Blaydes 0-0
VS
15-3 Aspinall
6'4"
height
6'5"
256 lb
weight
251 lb
80"
reach
78"
35
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
8.1
50%
striking accuracy
67%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
58%
striking defence
65%
5.7
takedowns / 15 min
3.3
53%
takedown accuracy
100%
31%
takedown defence
100%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CO
Covers picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i do like Tom Aspinall in this one uh Curtis Blaydes of course has terrific offensive wrestling great take downs uh and he's also showed improved striking we saw him knock out Chris Curtis on his feet in his last bout but i do think Tom Aspinall is on another level uh Tom Aspinalls won eight fights in a row all of those coming via finish inside of the first two rounds uh he's 5-0 in the ufc with four performance of the night bonuses he finally faced top competition in his last fight uh faced alexander volkov and he absolutely dismantled him submitted them inside of the first round this is a guy that i think is on the path to eventually be champion uh when it comes to striking i do think he has an edge on Curtis Blaydes in that category his boxing is so technically sound he's got very fast hands he's got power as well and if Curtis Blaydes does manage to get the takedown i do think Tom Aspinall can handle himself on the mat he's got terrific submissions grappling and jiu jitsu ability so i do think i do think his all-around ability gives him the edge of this one i got hospital about -120 but i'd be willing to lay the lumbar anywhere up to -145”
$1.83
Covers picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i do like Tom Aspinall in this one uh Curtis Blaydes of course has terrific offensive wrestling great take downs uh and he's also showed improved striking we saw him knock out Chris Curtis on his feet in his last bout but i do think Tom Aspinall is on another level uh Tom Aspinalls won eight fights in a row all of those coming via finish inside of the first two rounds uh he's 5-0 in the ufc with four performance of the night bonuses he finally faced top competition in his last fight uh faced alexander volkov and he absolutely dismantled him submitted them inside of the first round this is a guy that i think is on the path to eventually be champion uh when it comes to striking i do think he has an edge on Curtis Blaydes in that category his boxing is so technically sound he's got very fast hands he's got power as well and if Curtis Blaydes does manage to get the takedown i do think Tom Aspinall can handle himself on the mat he's got terrific submissions grappling and jiu jitsu ability so i do think i do think his all-around ability gives him the edge of this one i got hospital about -120 but i'd be willing to lay the lumbar anywhere up to -145”
$1.83
DS
Dynes Sports picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I have a sneaking suspicion this is going to be a deflating night for Tom Espinal... I'm very hesitant to back him here against somebody the caliber of blades... at NOT_IN_ROSTER_51 money, he's my lean in the main event”
Dynes Sports picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“I have a sneaking suspicion this is going to be a deflating night for Tom Espinal... I'm very hesitant to back him here against somebody the caliber of blades... at NOT_IN_ROSTER_51 money, he's my lean in the main event”
WP
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i like Curtis Blaydes to get the takedowns get the control time and win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i like Curtis Blaydes to get the takedowns get the control time and win this fight”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Tom Aspinall
“i'm seeing a lot of people's talk about Curtis Blaydes is wrestling it's going to be too much now and stuff like that yo NOT_IN_ROSTER_29 out striking is gonna be too much for Curtis Blaydes”
MMA Prophecy picks Tom Aspinall
“i'm seeing a lot of people's talk about Curtis Blaydes is wrestling it's going to be too much now and stuff like that yo NOT_IN_ROSTER_29 out striking is gonna be too much for Curtis Blaydes”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i'm going for Curtis Blaydes to win uh in the main of interviews see london now the the liverpool fans or the uk fans are probably killing me now for for going for this one but he's plus 110 Tom Aspinall is -1 30”
$2.10
Sherdog.com picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i'm going for Curtis Blaydes to win uh in the main of interviews see london now the the liverpool fans or the uk fans are probably killing me now for for going for this one but he's plus 110 Tom Aspinall is -1 30”
$2.10
SH
Sherdog.com picks Tom Aspinall
“i'm going for Curtis Blaydes to win uh in the main of interviews see london now the the liverpool fans or the uk fans are probably killing me now for for going for this one but he's plus 110 Tom Aspinall is -1 30”
$1.77
Sherdog.com picks Tom Aspinall
“i'm going for Curtis Blaydes to win uh in the main of interviews see london now the the liverpool fans or the uk fans are probably killing me now for for going for this one but he's plus 110 Tom Aspinall is -1 30”
$1.77
OM
One On One | MMA picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“I am like buying Tom Aspinall tickets all day long if there was a train I have been driving it from the moment that I saw that guy fight”
One On One | MMA picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“I am like buying Tom Aspinall tickets all day long if there was a train I have been driving it from the moment that I saw that guy fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i'm picking aspanal to win uh i do think he finishes Curtis Blaydes very early”
$84.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i'm picking aspanal to win uh i do think he finishes Curtis Blaydes very early”
$84.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i have about 50 Tom Aspinall about 50 Curtis Blaydes”
$80.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i have about 50 Tom Aspinall about 50 Curtis Blaydes”
$80.00
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“Tom Aspinall blades”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“Tom Aspinall blades”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“Curtis Blaydes being just a straight killer”
Walk The Line MMA picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“Curtis Blaydes being just a straight killer”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i believe Tom Aspinall has the potential to be a major star in the sport of mma”
Walk The Line MMA picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i believe Tom Aspinall has the potential to be a major star in the sport of mma”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Blaydes0-0
L
Hokit
Apr '26
W
Kuniev
Jun '25
L
Aspinall
Jul '24
W
Almeida
Mar '24
L
Pavlovich
Apr '23
Aspinall15-3
W
Blaydes
Jul '24
W
Pavlovich
Nov '23
W
Tybura
Jul '23
L
Blaydes
Jul '22
W
Volkov
Mar '22