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UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Diakiese v Hadžović Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Diakiese 7
2 Hadžović
MGATDW pick Diakiese
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Diakiese 17-7 VS 14-7 Hadžović
height
weight
reach
33 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 3.4
40% striking accuracy 48%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
52% striking defence 62%
3.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
43% takedown accuracy 55%
66% takedown defence 34%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “i absolutely think he gets it done”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “i feel like dia casey is um you know able to get another big night here in terms of drafting scoring he scored a ton in the slava class fight and i feel like that is definitely on the table here” $92.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Damir Hadžović “i think this is another spot i'm seeing a lot of people say this is the biggest lock on the whole card”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “i think this is another spot i'm seeing a lot of people say this is the biggest lock on the whole card”
WP We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese “i think Marc Diakiese decase wins this fight i think it's a pretty dominant win for him and i think i'm going to uh parlay him with Nathaniel Wood” $1.31
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marc Diakiese “i'm riding with Marc Diakiese” $1.34
AM Artem MMA picks Marc Diakiese “give me Marc Diakiese to win by decision”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Damir Hadžović “Marc Diakiese versus Damir Hadžović”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “i favored dia casey via decision”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Damir Hadžović “i'm gonna side with mark diaci”
GP Greedo Plays picks Marc Diakiese “i like mark de casey again to put on the wrestling boots i think he's going to be damir has fitch i think he gets it done by unanimous decision”
TF The ICE Files picks Marc Diakiese “i'm going to go with Marc Diakiese on this one” $1.33
Recent form last five, most recent first
Diakiese17-7
W Fernandes Decision · R3 Nov '23
L Álvarez Submission · R2 Jul '23
L Johnson Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Hadžović Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Mar '22
Hadžović14-7
L McKinney KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Diakiese Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Medeiros Decision · R3 Jun '21
L Moicano Submission · R1 Mar '20
L Giagos Decision · R3 Jun '19