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Pimblett vs LeavittMain Card · Lightweight
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Krylov vs GustafssonMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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McCann vs GoldyMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Oezdemir vs CraigMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Diakiese vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Wood vs RosaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Diakiese v Hadžović
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Diakiese 17-7
VS
14-7 Hadžović
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
33
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
3.4
40%
striking accuracy
48%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
52%
striking defence
62%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
43%
takedown accuracy
55%
66%
takedown defence
34%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese VALUE
“i absolutely think he gets it done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marc Diakiese VALUE
“i feel like dia casey is um you know able to get another big night here in terms of drafting scoring he scored a ton in the slava class fight and i feel like that is definitely on the table here”
$92.00
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Damir Hadžović
“i think this is another spot i'm seeing a lot of people say this is the biggest lock on the whole card”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Marc Diakiese VALUE
“i think this is another spot i'm seeing a lot of people say this is the biggest lock on the whole card”
WP
We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese
“i think Marc Diakiese decase wins this fight i think it's a pretty dominant win for him and i think i'm going to uh parlay him with Nathaniel Wood”
$1.31
AM
Artem MMA picks Marc Diakiese
“give me Marc Diakiese to win by decision”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Damir Hadžović
“Marc Diakiese versus Damir Hadžović”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Marc Diakiese VALUE
“i favored dia casey via decision”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Damir Hadžović
“i'm gonna side with mark diaci”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Marc Diakiese
“i like mark de casey again to put on the wrestling boots i think he's going to be damir has fitch i think he gets it done by unanimous decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Diakiese17-7
W
Fernandes
Nov '23
L
Álvarez
Jul '23
L
Johnson
Dec '22
W
Hadžović
Jul '22
W
Borshchev
Mar '22
Hadžović14-7
L
McKinney
Feb '25
L
Diakiese
Jul '22
W
Medeiros
Jun '21
L
Moicano
Mar '20
L
Giagos
Jun '19