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Pimblett vs LeavittMain Card · Lightweight
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Krylov vs GustafssonMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pimblett v Leavitt
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pimblett 23-3
VS
13-4 Leavitt
5'10"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
145 lb
73"
reach
71"
31
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.9
strikes landed / min
4.8
53%
striking accuracy
57%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
40%
striking defence
68%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
25%
takedown accuracy
61%
52%
takedown defence
75%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DS
Dynes Sports picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“I'm leaning craig right now but it's by no means a confident play... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 is going to go in and with the crowd behind him... roll in a fight like this... find another finish in his third ufc fight so far right yeah... by sub”
Dynes Sports picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“I'm leaning craig right now but it's by no means a confident play... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 is going to go in and with the crowd behind him... roll in a fight like this... find another finish in his third ufc fight so far right yeah... by sub”
WP
We Want Picks picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“i think patty gets this done”
We Want Picks picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“i think patty gets this done”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett to continue his ufc domination”
MMA Prophecy picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett to continue his ufc domination”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“one thing people forget right if you look at Paddy Pimblett you're at okay he's not the best striker nor he's going to get banged out by someone one of these days penny pimples losses have been to guys who are just like strong wrestlers and sergeant-back and nad naramani uh jordan it's a strong wrestler you know if you want two and two to make four let's go over it but i would just about pick paddy in that one but uh at that price at that price 100 level you can't i don't think ben patty a minus 260 in that fight is is a good one at all to go but an enemy event blades and Tom Aspinall just straight up uh minus 110 minus 108 ish for us for a blades and in the minus 1 30 minus 135 here in some places i see for tom aspinall interesting price you know i basically pick them fine i think that's just about right so right we will leave it there”
$3.20
Sherdog.com picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“one thing people forget right if you look at Paddy Pimblett you're at okay he's not the best striker nor he's going to get banged out by someone one of these days penny pimples losses have been to guys who are just like strong wrestlers and sergeant-back and nad naramani uh jordan it's a strong wrestler you know if you want two and two to make four let's go over it but i would just about pick paddy in that one but uh at that price at that price 100 level you can't i don't think ben patty a minus 260 in that fight is is a good one at all to go but an enemy event blades and Tom Aspinall just straight up uh minus 110 minus 108 ish for us for a blades and in the minus 1 30 minus 135 here in some places i see for tom aspinall interesting price you know i basically pick them fine i think that's just about right so right we will leave it there”
$3.20
SH
Sherdog.com picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett Jordan Leavitt plus 220 for levitt uh minus 260 for Paddy Pimblett if you're asking me to bet one of them at that price i would 100 bet levitt there”
$1.38
Sherdog.com picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett Jordan Leavitt plus 220 for levitt uh minus 260 for Paddy Pimblett if you're asking me to bet one of them at that price i would 100 bet levitt there”
$1.38
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“i do think patty does go out there and get the finish”
$90.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“i do think patty does go out there and get the finish”
$90.00
AM
Artem MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“i'm picking Paddy Pimblett to win”
Artem MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“i'm picking Paddy Pimblett to win”
AM
Artem MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“i'm picking Paddy Pimblett to win”
Artem MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“i'm picking Paddy Pimblett to win”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“Paddy Pimblett vs Jordan Leavitt how can you not be excited for this fight”
Walk The Line MMA picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE
“Paddy Pimblett vs Jordan Leavitt how can you not be excited for this fight”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“anytime a guy like Jordan Leavitt steps into the cage uh you got to be ready to go”
Walk The Line MMA picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“anytime a guy like Jordan Leavitt steps into the cage uh you got to be ready to go”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Paddy Pimblett
“my prediction Paddy Pimblettt is gonna completely dust Jordan Leavitt”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Paddy Pimblett
“my prediction Paddy Pimblettt is gonna completely dust Jordan Leavitt”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Paddy Pimblett
“i think on the ground i think this fight's very i think it is but pimlic's not stupid he knows what he's got he what he's up against against Jordan Leavitt he knows love is not the greatest striker decent on the ground but what patty the bet he's got is he can win fights in the ground he can win on the feet”
Greedo Plays picks Paddy Pimblett
“i think on the ground i think this fight's very i think it is but pimlic's not stupid he knows what he's got he what he's up against against Jordan Leavitt he knows love is not the greatest striker decent on the ground but what patty the bet he's got is he can win fights in the ground he can win on the feet”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pimblett23-3
L
Gaethje
Jan '26
W
Chandler
Apr '25
W
Green
Jul '24
W
Ferguson
Dec '23
W
Gordon
Dec '22
Leavitt13-4
L
Brito
Jun '26
W
Valle
Feb '26
W
Holobaugh
May '25
L
Hooper
Nov '23
W
Martinez
Feb '23