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Wood vs RosaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Wood v Rosa
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Wood 22-6
VS
14-8 Rosa
5'6"
height
—
146 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
33
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.8
strikes landed / min
3.1
51%
striking accuracy
36%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
56%
striking defence
47%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
48%
takedown accuracy
35%
72%
takedown defence
38%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DS
Dynes Sports picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE
“i like wood... i think he's a solid part late piece... i like wood too in the spot... his last fight was back in october of 2020... i like wood by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Nathaniel Wood
“i think Nathaniel Woods smokes Charles Rosa”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Nathaniel Wood
“my pick's gonna be Nathaniel Wood in this one because i feel like he's slightly better”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Charles Rosa
“love this fight between Charles Rosa and Nathaniel Wood look nothing wood's probably going to win he's minus 600 plus 450 for rosa but that's going to be a banger of a fight an absolute banger”
$1.17
SH
Sherdog.com picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE
“love this fight between Charles Rosa and Nathaniel Wood look nothing wood's probably going to win he's minus 600 plus 450 for rosa but that's going to be a banger of a fight an absolute banger”
$5.50
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Charles Rosa VALUE
“Charles Rosa”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE
“Nathaniel Wood's going to win”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE
“give me wood here i think he wins pretty much anyway”
$1.20
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Charles Rosa
“the easiest t up fight in the world right you mean you have weirdly like charles rose has so many wins against really good guys but he's skill wise like i don't want to be disrespectful but he's not going to be he's not making a run at the title any time soon”
WP
We Want Picks picks Nathaniel Wood
“i think Nathaniel Wood gets it done and i do think he's a parlay piece”
$1.19
AM
Artem MMA picks Nathaniel Wood
“i'm picking Nathaniel Wood”
AM
Artem MMA picks Nathaniel Wood VALUE
“i think if you hear Nathaniel Wood with with Marc Diakiese i don't think that's plus money but maybe if you add someone else on a three-piece uh parlay i think you've got something special there”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Wood22-6
W
Keita
Mar '26
W
Delgado
Oct '25
W
Charrière
Mar '25
W
Pineda
Jul '24
L
Naimov
Oct '23
Rosa14-8
L
Wood
Jul '22
L
Brown
Jan '22
L
Jackson
Oct '21
W
Jaynes
Jun '21
L
Minner
Feb '21