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UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hermansson v Curtis Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Hermansson 2
7 Curtis
UW pick Hermansson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hermansson 24-9 VS 32-12 Curtis
6'1" height 5'10"
185 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 76"
38 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 5.8
44% striking accuracy 51%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
56% striking defence 52%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
30% takedown accuracy 0%
80% takedown defence 82%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Curtis VALUE “i do think Chris Curtis wins”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Chris Curtis “i've got NOT_IN_ROSTER_27 Chris Curtis her manson can grapple and can't strike car is congrapple and can strike simple as that”
SH Sherdog.com picks Chris Curtis “i'm going for Jack Hermansson to submit Chris Curtis at plus 450”
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Chris Curtis VALUE “Chris Curtis is going to win”
AM Artem MMA picks Chris Curtis “give me Chris Curtis by decision or kl”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jack Hermansson “the Jack Hermansson vs Chris Curtis fight thrown together uh recently it's an exciting fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Chris Curtis “the kurdish blades versus tom aspinall fight and need i say more”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “i'd have to take the plus 110 on Jack Hermansson to win this fight”
TF The ICE Files picks Chris Curtis VALUE “i'm going with Chris Curtis on this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Curtis “i'm going with chris curtis”
DC Daniel Cormier picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I'm gonna take back to the hotel i'm gonna go find max halloween i'm gonna give my brother a big hug because i love him and i'm proud of him for what he did out there tonight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hermansson24-9
L Orolbai KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Pyfer Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
W Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '22
Curtis32-12
L Orolbai Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Griffin Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Allen Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Barriault Decision · R3 Jan '24