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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mokaev v Johnson
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mokaev 13-0
VS
19-8 Johnson
5'7"
height
5'9"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
70"
reach
70"
25
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Switch
1.6
strikes landed / min
4.2
45%
striking accuracy
47%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
57%
striking defence
54%
5.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
41%
takedown accuracy
66%
25%
takedown defence
55%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DS
Dynes Sports picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“i'm high on makaiv here... i just think makaya is going to be able to get the wrestling going right away... i think he gets it done i'll i'll take his word for it i'll say submission in the second round”
Dynes Sports picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“i'm high on makaiv here... i just think makaya is going to be able to get the wrestling going right away... i think he gets it done i'll i'll take his word for it i'll say submission in the second round”
WP
We Want Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE
“i think mohammed mikhail gets it done either a ridiculous decision with a million takedowns in control time or some sort of stop”
We Want Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE
“i think mohammed mikhail gets it done either a ridiculous decision with a million takedowns in control time or some sort of stop”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i'm taking Muhammad Mokaev mukaya if this dude is a savage”
MMA Prophecy picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i'm taking Muhammad Mokaev mukaya if this dude is a savage”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“i think Charles Johnson wins it straight up Charles Johnson's win this fight”
$4.70
Santino DeFranco picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“i think Charles Johnson wins it straight up Charles Johnson's win this fight”
$4.70
WP
We Want Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i do think mikayav wins because i think that wrestling is just gonna be a little too much”
We Want Picks picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i do think mikayav wins because i think that wrestling is just gonna be a little too much”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Charles Johnson
“Charles Johnson makes his ufc debut the former lfa champ”
Walk The Line MMA picks Charles Johnson
“Charles Johnson makes his ufc debut the former lfa champ”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i'm gonna side with muhammad makayev to win this fight”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i'm gonna side with muhammad makayev to win this fight”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i think he's going to take him down i think mohave is going to submit him i got muhammad by first on submission”
Greedo Plays picks Muhammad Mokaev
“i think he's going to take him down i think mohave is going to submit him i got muhammad by first on submission”
TF
The ICE Files picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE
“i think muhammad mikhail should run away with this one pretty easily”
The ICE Files picks Muhammad Mokaev VALUE
“i think muhammad mikhail should run away with this one pretty easily”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mokaev13-0
W
Kape
Jul '24
W
Perez
Mar '24
W
Elliott
Oct '23
W
Filho
Mar '23
W
Gordon
Oct '22
Johnson19-8
L
Almabayev
Jun '26
W
Silva
Mar '26
L
Perez
Jan '26
W
Kavanagh
Aug '25
L
Temirov
Mar '25