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UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pearce v Amirkhani Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Pearce 5
1 Amirkhani
GUSDW pick Pearce
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pearce 14-7 VS 17-9 Amirkhani
6'0" height —
145 lb weight —
71" reach —
34 age 37
Switch stance Southpaw
5.1 strikes landed / min 1.3
54% striking accuracy 44%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
54% striking defence 46%
5.0 takedowns / 15 min 4.0
50% takedown accuracy 43%
55% takedown defence 35%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “i'll probably spend the jonathan pierce money”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “i will be having some Jonathan Pearce” $88.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “Jonathan Pearce by a country mile should he not get submitted” $1.50
WP We Want Picks picks Makwan Amirkhani “my pick is Makwan Amirkhani but i don't feel great about it”
WP We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce “i think that's going to be Jonathan Pearce so he's going to be the pick”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Makwan Amirkhani “mac one amira connie taking on Jonathan Pearce”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “i expect jonathan pierce to get the better of the wrestling exchanges on mac one here and grind out a decision victory” $1.49
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “i'm taking makwanamiyakani”
GP Greedo Plays picks Jonathan Pearce “i think he's gonna beat mac one mirror connie by decision i could see a tko but i got jsp by decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce “so he's the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pearce14-7
L Sabatini Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Onama Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Brito Submission · R2 Nov '23
W Elkins Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Amirkhani KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
Amirkhani17-9
L Shore Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Pearce KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
W Grundy Submission · R1 Mar '22
L Murphy KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21
L Kirk Decision · R3 Jun '21