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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oezdemir v Craig
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oezdemir 20-8
VS
17-10-1 Craig
6'2"
height
6'3"
206 lb
weight
205 lb
75"
reach
76"
36
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
3.2
48%
striking accuracy
48%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
55%
striking defence
52%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
29%
takedown accuracy
60%
80%
takedown defence
80%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DS
Dynes Sports picks Paul Craig VALUE
“i'm leaning... i'm leaning craig right now but it's by no means a confident play... i think ozimir's the much better striker... but i like craig here by sub”
Dynes Sports picks Paul Craig VALUE
“i'm leaning... i'm leaning craig right now but it's by no means a confident play... i think ozimir's the much better striker... but i like craig here by sub”
WP
We Want Picks picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE
“i think vulcan pieces them up”
We Want Picks picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE
“i think vulcan pieces them up”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Paul Craig VALUE
“i definitely got Paul Craig in this one”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Paul Craig VALUE
“i definitely got Paul Craig in this one”
WP
We Want Picks picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE
“i think he wins i think he beats up Paul Craig it might be a decision or might be later in the third round”
We Want Picks picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE
“i think he wins i think he beats up Paul Craig it might be a decision or might be later in the third round”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Paul Craig VALUE
“i'm going for Paul Craig my guy plus one four two are we going to keep down Paul Craigly no and we can keep down and we can keep down he's fighting Volkan Oezdemir here who is you know a good fighter a very very good fighter um but he hasn't had the best thrown over you know over the last while i think Paul Craig is maybe the most disrespected fighter in the ufc”
$2.42
Sherdog.com picks Paul Craig VALUE
“i'm going for Paul Craig my guy plus one four two are we going to keep down Paul Craigly no and we can keep down and we can keep down he's fighting Volkan Oezdemir here who is you know a good fighter a very very good fighter um but he hasn't had the best thrown over you know over the last while i think Paul Craig is maybe the most disrespected fighter in the ufc”
$2.42
SH
Sherdog.com picks Volkan Oezdemir
“he's fighting Volkan Oezdemir here who is you know a good fighter a very very good fighter um but he hasn't had the best thrown over you know over the last while”
$1.62
Sherdog.com picks Volkan Oezdemir
“he's fighting Volkan Oezdemir here who is you know a good fighter a very very good fighter um but he hasn't had the best thrown over you know over the last while”
$1.62
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Paul Craig VALUE
“Paul Craig will get a hold of him and close range striking”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Paul Craig VALUE
“Paul Craig will get a hold of him and close range striking”
AM
Artem MMA picks Volkan Oezdemir
“give me Volkan Oezdemir to beat Paul Craig”
Artem MMA picks Volkan Oezdemir
“give me Volkan Oezdemir to beat Paul Craig”
AM
Artem MMA picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE
“i'm picking Volkan Oezdemir”
Artem MMA picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE
“i'm picking Volkan Oezdemir”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Paul Craig
“he's been working on his striking throughout the years as well”
$2.30
Walk The Line MMA picks Paul Craig
“he's been working on his striking throughout the years as well”
$2.30
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Volkan Oezdemir
“i'm picking Volkan Oezdemir”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Volkan Oezdemir
“i'm picking Volkan Oezdemir”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Volkan Oezdemir
“i'm going to take volcano's mirror i'm going to take Volkan Oezdemir man i think i think uzmir can come in here i think he'd win this fight ... i think he's gonna knock out Paul Craig in the first shot i think he's gonna do it there you go taking volcanoes from here to get back on the winning track taking no time to use the mirror first round knockout”
Greedo Plays picks Volkan Oezdemir
“i'm going to take volcano's mirror i'm going to take Volkan Oezdemir man i think i think uzmir can come in here i think he'd win this fight ... i think he's gonna knock out Paul Craig in the first shot i think he's gonna do it there you go taking volcanoes from here to get back on the winning track taking no time to use the mirror first round knockout”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oezdemir20-8
W
Menifield
Nov '25
L
Ulberg
Nov '24
W
Walker
Jun '24
W
Guskov
Sep '23
L
Krylov
Oct '22
Craig17-10-1
L
Bukauskas
Sep '25
L
Nickal
Nov '24
L
Borralho
May '24
L
Allen
Nov '23
W
Muniz
Jul '23