UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown
🚨 UFC VEGAS 118 FULL CARD BREAKDOWN + EARLY LEANS | UFC Betting Show
PM
Pub Sports MMA
1 month ago
11W–7L · +1.0u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I would go ahead and probably still lean Kentland Ketlen Souza to get back on the win column in a rematch. Probably by decision or round three”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.34
Souza’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
“I would go ahead and probably still lean Kentland Ketlen Souza to get back on the win column in a rematch. Probably by decision or round three”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.34
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
YD
Yuneisy Duben
v Jeisla Chaves
MONEYLINE
LOST
Yuneisy Duben
v Jeisla Chaves
MONEYLINE
LOST
“So yeah, give me Yuneisy Duben in here. I might have to bet her, dude.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.15
→
close$4.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JB
Joanderson Brito
v Jordan Leavitt
MONEYLINE
WON
Joanderson Brito
v Jordan Leavitt
MONEYLINE
WON
“For now, I'm going Joanderson Brito.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.61
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JL
Jordan Leavitt
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jordan Leavitt
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
“It might be a contrarian pick, but I think Jordan Leavitt is worth the underdog shot here.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.66
→
close$2.70
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
CC
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
MONEYLINE
WON
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
MONEYLINE
WON
“Chelsea Chandler's probably going to be the pick and the bet for me.”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.80
→
close$1.87
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.24
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
“I absolutely agree with the under the half at minus 166 on the screen. I feel like if he wants to make this very easy, I might even look to play round one knockout. I think he's going to come forward, not respect Matt Matt Schnell, and knock him the hell out.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.22
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.28
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
SL
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I also like him to win by inside the distance, preferably by knockout.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.25
→
close$2.20
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
BM
Bryce Mitchell
v Santiago Luna
MONEYLINE
WON
Bryce Mitchell
v Santiago Luna
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm kind of liking Bryce Mitchell. I think that's a good buy low spot here.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.74
→
close$1.80
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.35
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
“it'll be like a free submission in rounds two or three if he plays it safe.”
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
GB
Gabriel Bonfim
v Belal Muhammad
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Gabriel Bonfim
v Belal Muhammad
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“leaning towards more of the Gabriel Bonfim not favor Gabriel Bonfim in the early rounds I don't think Gabriel Bonfim gets the finish, Gabriel Bonfim by decision just feels like I that plus money next to Gabriel Bonfim”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.06
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
ÉC
Édgar Cháirez
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Édgar Cháirez
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I got to go with Édgar Cháirez here. I feel like when the going gets tough, Duke was the door and Édgar Cháirez is going to hit her with a counter knockout. Uh, while this is a big price tag, I think she covers the price tag and wins this fight inside distance probably by knockout.”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$2.25
→
close$2.15
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
GB
Gabriel Bonfim
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
Gabriel Bonfim
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
“leaning towards more of the Gabriel Bonfim not favor Gabriel Bonfim in the early rounds I don't think Gabriel Bonfim gets the finish, Gabriel Bonfim by decision just feels like I that plus money next to Gabriel Bonfim”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.06
Bonfim’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
PC
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I feel like she and I think Priscila Cachoeira could easily throw finish Priscila Cachoeira by submission dumb easily here in this fight.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.09
→
close$2.07
Cachoeira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
PC
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I feel like she and I think Priscila Cachoeira could easily throw finish Priscila Cachoeira by submission dumb easily here in this fight.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.09
→
close$2.07
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish