Round 3 UNDERDOG Value Show | UFC Vegas 118 Best Bets, Props & Value Picks (Live)

“I like Ketlen Souza a lot in this matchup. I think she's gotten much better over the years.”

“I say Jeisla Chaves by points plus 165. But I like that KO. I I think Jeisla Chaves by KO is the best option in this fight. So that's Yeah, plus 250.”

“I say Jeisla Chaves by points plus 165. But I like that KO. I I think Jeisla Chaves by KO is the best option in this fight. So that's Yeah, plus 250.”

“I like Priscila Cachoeira by finish. I do. I I like her. I mean, you can take her double chance, which I think you can take her by decision or KO. So, let's take a look at that one first. Yeah. Priscila Cachoeira uh KO on points is plus 105. Okay. Yeah, you're not getting much out of that. She's just a plus 102. So, now we are going to go over here to Yeah, Priscila Cachoeira by KO is a plus 250. I I like I think that's very live actually. I think I really think that's that's how she gets it done.”

“Priscila Cachoeira by KO is a plus 250”

“I'm on Édgar Cháirez in this one, but I'm not mad at you if you're on Bruno Gustavo da Silva. I definitely get it. He he comes forward, you know, he's he's a little fireplug, right? Those heavy hands. Um, and he's he does a lot of damage and and where I think is more of the finesse guy, but he's tough and he's durable and I think he's just going to hang around and score enough and do enough to just keep Bruno Gustavo da Silva on on the outside. I really do. I know he's had a hard time with that in the past, but I think Édgar Cháirez has just cleaned all that stuff up. I I like the way this guy fights. I think he's really really smooth. But I will say that bald head he has I'll just slow down and say it's it's not a good look. bald heads, really pale skin, very long hair. Those are three things that are not good for optics in the UFC. All right. Or just in MMA in general. So, it's just that's that's kind of how I feel. Just a little little side note. But yeah, I like Édgar Cháirez to get this thing done. I I think I think he's going to be busting Bruno Gustavo da Silva Bruno Gustavo da Silva up with elbows and all the dynamic strikes that he likes to throw. And And I think if it hits the ground, I these guys can both grapple. I think if it hits the ground, Char is alive for a submission. I really do. So, I I was kind of I've been thinking that all week long. I am on I'm on Édgar Cháirez in this fight. I like I like him as an underdog. I'm on more dogs than I realized. I'm not now not kind of looking through this card, but yeah, I think Édgar Cháirez I think Yeah, I think by submission or decision. So, we can go double chance here. I think Édgar Cháirez can get it done all three ways. I I really do. But submission or points for Édgar Cháirez is plus 220. I like that. I like that. I mean, KO or submission is plus 220 as well. I like that, you know. So, but if you just want to go straight up submission and take a chance, let's see what just straight up submission is for Édgar Cháirez. Plus 650, right? So yeah, I like that a lot. I think plus 650. I think that's the kind of wild. If you want to look at a wild one, that's that's it. That's that wild one. Okay, as we call that. But yeah, Bruno Gustavo da Silva by points plus 185. I think that's live, too. I mean, Bruno Gustavo da Silva is very live in this one. I'm not I'm not super confident in Édgar Cháirez. I'm not. But I said in close fights, you got to pick a side. You got to plant your flag and and be okay with whatever result happens, right? So that's that's kind of where I'm at with this one. I'm on Édgar Cháirez. And I I like him a variety of ways. So any which way you slice it, like I said, I like those double chances to kind of, you know, keep yourself safe. So that's that is how I am looking at that fight, guys. You know, keep an eye out for that one. That's that's a that's a potential fight of the night candidate right there in my opinion.”

“I see Marcus McGhee getting the finish in this fight. I do. I think he's a little upset. I think he's a little offended by the placement on the card that he has here. I mean, he's been a little bit vocal about that in interviews. So, I think he's going to come out here and make a statement and make sure that, you know, for as long as his career lasts, which we don't really know. He's about 30 35 36. So, for as long as his career lasts, he wants to make sure that he's never on the prelims again. I'm sure that's how Marcus McGhee is feeling here. So, let's let's look at these odds. I think you take him by KO straight up probably isn't even going to get you plus money. It might. Let's take a peek. Let's take a peek here. Oh, plus 150. I think that's where you go. Yeah, Marcus McGhee by KO is plus 150.”

“I see Marcus McGhee getting the finish in this fight. I do. I think he's a little upset. I think he's a little offended by the placement on the card that he has here. I mean, he's been a little bit vocal about that in interviews. So, I think he's going to come out here and make a statement and make sure that, you know, for as long as his career lasts, which we don't really know. He's about 30 35 36. So, for as long as his career lasts, he wants to make sure that he's never on the prelims again. I'm sure that's how Marcus McGhee is feeling here. So, let's let's look at these odds. I think you take him by KO straight up probably isn't even going to get you plus money. It might. Let's take a peek. Let's take a peek here. Oh, plus 150. I think that's where you go. Yeah, Marcus McGhee by KO is plus 150.”

“I think he's going to um I think he's going to knock out match now. And I think it's going to be the same exact way. I think you go rounds two or three. Let's just see. I doubt I doubt this one at a minus 770 minus. My goodness. Yeah. And it's it's a minus 170 form to get the K.O. So you got to you if I I'd say you can parlay that though. I say Alexandra by KO is a good parlay piece just at at that minus 170 alone.”

“I think he's going to um I think he's going to knock out match now. And I think it's going to be the same exact way. I think you go rounds two or three. Let's just see. I doubt I doubt this one at a minus 770 minus. My goodness. Yeah. And it's it's a minus 170 form to get the K.O. So you got to you if I I'd say you can parlay that though. I say Alexandra by KO is a good parlay piece just at at that minus 170 alone.”

“I like Iwo Baraniewski by KO, but I really just like this fight to end under one and a half rounds in general because as much as I don't like the Taffer brothers, they have power and anything can happen. You know, it's they can put people down. So, I say your value, goodness gracious, they have it's it's a half round, guys. It is a half round. So if you can you go over here to round props and then sometime you you got to dig a little bit right. Do they have don't think they're going to have any alternates. Okay. So no alternates on that. Goodness. Under half around. I guess you can take a flyer on that. It's sitting at a plus 200. you know, over half around as a minus 270. That's so interesting how they have it lined that way. I don't think I've I don't think I've seen that before. That's that's a very interesting line that they put out. So, yeah, I say I will fight N KO. You're probably not going to get minus 260. I say you could probably that up. I say with this one, you don't you don't go too crazy. Ew's undefeated, but hey, man, that O's got to go eventually, right? Unless you're Kabib. So yeah, I I say just the minus 260 as a parlay piece is probably the value. This fight just scares me a little bit when when when guys, you know, at this weight start start throwing hands. Anything can happen. So EO by KO is a minus 130. I mean, I I sure I guess, but I don't I mean, yeah, it's not Junior Tafa is not going to lay down this guy. I mean, he's not he's not they're not great, but I mean, they're they're not soft, you know, what I mean? They're tough guys. So, Junior Tafa KO is plus 440, guys. I think that's I think that's worth a look. I really do. I think the best value is just the fight ends in a KO at a minus 260. Iwo Baraniewski I want to say he has this does he have he has some kind of grappling background and I mean he could get this to the ground but I I don't I don't I see this just being a firefight in one of these dudes dropping. I I really do. So yeah, if we're going to go to the KO props you hear the tone of my voice. I'm just I'm not too confident in this one guys. It's this this is a true on the spot search cuz yeah these guys are going to start Yeah. start throwing those 4 oz gloves around and yeah, some someone's going to fall, man. So, I like the two or threes. I I mean, I think maybe Yeah, this this fight may get into I mean, yeah, I I do think there's a chance this fight gets in the second round. So, I like EO two or three. I mean, I like Junior Tafa of two or three. So, whichever whichever way you want to slice it. I like EO in this fight overall, guys. But yeah, you never know. You never know. appreciate uh the couple people who just popped in now. Yeah, that's all I got on that one, guys. That's that's one that Yeah, that's that's going to be a firefight. So, yeah, it's going to end by KO. Junior Junior Tafa and and Iwo Baraniewski is going to end by KO. All right, put it that way.”

“I like Iwo Baraniewski by KO, but I really just like this fight to end under one and a half rounds in general because as much as I don't like the Taffer brothers, they have power and anything can happen. You know, it's they can put people down. So, I say your value, goodness gracious, they have it's it's a half round, guys. It is a half round. So if you can you go over here to round props and then sometime you you got to dig a little bit right. Do they have don't think they're going to have any alternates. Okay. So no alternates on that. Goodness. Under half around. I guess you can take a flyer on that. It's sitting at a plus 200. you know, over half around as a minus 270. That's so interesting how they have it lined that way. I don't think I've I don't think I've seen that before. That's that's a very interesting line that they put out. So, yeah, I say I will fight N KO. You're probably not going to get minus 260. I say you could probably that up. I say with this one, you don't you don't go too crazy. Ew's undefeated, but hey, man, that O's got to go eventually, right? Unless you're Kabib. So yeah, I I say just the minus 260 as a parlay piece is probably the value. This fight just scares me a little bit when when when guys, you know, at this weight start start throwing hands. Anything can happen. So EO by KO is a minus 130. I mean, I I sure I guess, but I don't I mean, yeah, it's not Junior Tafa is not going to lay down this guy. I mean, he's not he's not they're not great, but I mean, they're they're not soft, you know, what I mean? They're tough guys. So, Junior Tafa KO is plus 440, guys. I think that's I think that's worth a look. I really do. I think the best value is just the fight ends in a KO at a minus 260. Iwo Baraniewski I want to say he has this does he have he has some kind of grappling background and I mean he could get this to the ground but I I don't I don't I see this just being a firefight in one of these dudes dropping. I I really do. So yeah, if we're going to go to the KO props you hear the tone of my voice. I'm just I'm not too confident in this one guys. It's this this is a true on the spot search cuz yeah these guys are going to start Yeah. start throwing those 4 oz gloves around and yeah, some someone's going to fall, man. So, I like the two or threes. I I mean, I think maybe Yeah, this this fight may get into I mean, yeah, I I do think there's a chance this fight gets in the second round. So, I like EO two or three. I mean, I like Junior Tafa of two or three. So, whichever whichever way you want to slice it. I like EO in this fight overall, guys. But yeah, you never know. You never know. appreciate uh the couple people who just popped in now. Yeah, that's all I got on that one, guys. That's that's one that Yeah, that's that's going to be a firefight. So, yeah, it's going to end by KO. Junior Junior Tafa and and Iwo Baraniewski is going to end by KO. All right, put it that way.”

“I think Bryce Mitchell I think Bryce Mitchell is going to get it done by decision. I think he's just going to hold this kid down or potentially get a late sub. I really do. I don't know. I don't I don't know. I don't think when I say I don't know, I don't know about a 21-year-old, you know, walking into the UFC and knocking out someone knocking out a veteran like Bryce Mitchell. People harp on about Bryce Mitchell's training regimen and and he doesn't have a true coach and he he trains his farm and I don't think anything's wrong with that. I really don't. You know, everyone was fine with Tony Ferguson, you know, doing his own thing for years until he started getting beat up, right? It's all it's about performances on the cage. So yeah, I like Bryce Mitchell by point at a plus 160. I like Bryce Mitchell by submission um at a plus 420. Budge, I mean, you got to look at this kid, right? I mean, he he's got he's got hands. Yeah, he's got hands. He can put him on. You know, Bryce Mitchell, we've seen him we've seen his clock completely clean before, right? So Santiago Luna by KO is plus 460. I think that's worth a stab. And I said if you want to go rounds with it. Yeah, Santiago Luna by KO in two or three is a plus 950 if you can think you can find it after the first round. So you're plus a,000 if you guys are on that Santiago Luna side and you're thinking Bryce Mitchell can survive a round and you're thinking Santiago Luna is going to get the KO. So I personally think it's Bryce Mitchell by points which is that you know the most likely scenario in the sportsbook world here. So, and that's that's what I'm rolling with in this fight. I like Bryce Mitchell a lot.”

“Farès Ziam by KO is at a plus 230”

“I do think Brendan Allen ends up drowning him, ends up getting it to his world, ends up getting his back, and just kind of if not sinking a choke in late, then definitely winning by decision. So, yeah, look at that. Brendan Allen by submissions a plus uh plus 220. That's your most likely outcome. Most yeah most likely outcome on your method of victories here on the sports book.”

“So, I do like Belal Muhammad officially I have him um by fourth, fifth or submission and I think I can find that for you on here. That's usually a fanatics one, but I'm pretty sure I can find it here. It's one of my favorite um favorite plays to make just in main events or just fourth round, fifth round late, you know, if you can get Yeah. See, a plus 130. So, you can kind of flip it, right? He's a minus 130, you can get a plus 130 for Belal Muhammad um to win in the fourth round, the fifth rounder by decision. I think that's I I think that's where it's at. I think that's I think that's what happens in this fight personally, and I like that number.”

“I do think Jordan Leavitt by submission later on in that fight is live. I think he I think he can sink something in. Really do.”

“Santiago Luna by KO is plus 460. I Yeah, Santiago Luna by KO in two or three is a a,000 if you guys are on that Santiago Luna side”

“Santiago Luna by KO is plus 460. I Yeah, Santiago Luna by KO in two or three is a a,000 if you guys are on that Santiago Luna side”

“I do think Jordan Leavitt by submission later on in that fight is live. I think he I think he can sink something in. Really do.”

“Tom Nolan by KO is at a plus 700, Tom Nolan KO rounds one or two. I think Tom Nolan.”

“Tom Nolan's a versus Tom Nolan. This one's going to is a little too technical. Tom Nolan”

“I love Brendan Allen on this spot. I think Edmen Shahbazyan Edmen Shahbazyan by KO is a plus 320 Edmen Shahbazyan hasn't hasn't ever lost a just want to say Edmen Shahbazyan gets it done”

“Farès Ziam be great while it lasts. I think um Farès Ziam”

“I love Brendan Allen on this spot. I think Edmen Shahbazyan Edmen Shahbazyan by KO is a plus 320 Edmen Shahbazyan hasn't hasn't ever lost a just want to say Edmen Shahbazyan gets it done”

“I think Bryce Mitchell is going to get like Bryce Mitchell by point at a plus 160. I like Bryce Mitchell by submission Bryce Mitchell, we've seen him we've and you're thinking Bryce Mitchell can think it's Bryce Mitchell by points this fight. I like Bryce Mitchell a lot.”