UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
“Give me Ketlen Souza. I like the Ketlen Souza side with you, bro. I think she's going to look pretty good, you know, in a rematch against a girl that she saw before, but like saw at her best.”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.34
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
YD
Yuneisy Duben
v Jeisla Chaves
MONEYLINE
LOST
Yuneisy Duben
v Jeisla Chaves
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Brother, I know the whole world is against me. I realize I'm picking a plus 300 dog. Yuneisy Duben by knockout.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.15
→
close$4.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JB
Joanderson Brito
v Jordan Leavitt
MONEYLINE
WON
Joanderson Brito
v Jordan Leavitt
MONEYLINE
WON
“I completely agree. I'm with you on Joe Anderson Joanderson Brito. I just don't trust in Jordan Leavitt's ability to damage opponents and I feel very low confidence in him submitting Joanderson Brito.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.61
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BS
Bruno Gustavo da Silva
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Bruno Gustavo da Silva
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva's going to take it home, man. I feel like Bruno Gustavo da Silva's going to give Édgar Cháirez some problems. He's a little bit faster. I think he's a little bit higher fight IQ, a little bit cleaner with the offensive boxing attack.”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.78
→
close$1.87
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
MM
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm picking Marcus McGhee though. Still John Yannis is good. Like I actually was really impressed by him destroying Jamie NOT_IN_ROSTER_99. He's got heavy hands and you know John Yannis is tough. He brings pressure. He can box a bit. He can make fights dirty. It's just Marcus McGhee seems a slight different caliber of technical chops and also has the athleticism to back it.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.24
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think he should be able to really damage Matt Schnell. I mean, I think Matt Schnell is past his finest hour. We've seen him take a lot of losses and some damage in those fights, too. Alessandro Costa's well-rounded, but he's got powerful stand up, knockout ability for sure. for a good ground game physically very strong and just, you know, he's a primed fighter that's rising right now.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.22
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I think we see Alessandro Costa get the finish probably live for maybe a club and sub actually and some damage done into a submission makes sense to me. Alessandro Costa by sub plus 450 line though. And I don't think that's crazy at all for Alessandro Costa to win by sub.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.22
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.50
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I GOT Belal Muhammad, REMEMBER THE NAME MUHAMMAD GETTING IT DONE. I DON'T CARE IF HE'S 40. Belal Muhammad'S CARDIO is good for days. Good for days. I think Belal Muhammad's going to win this fight. I'm going with the slight favorite on Belal Muhammad at minus 125.”
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.82
→
close$1.95
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“Brendan Allen is high level grappling and his striking is competent. I think Brendan Allen is going to win this fight on the floor. I think he's going to take down Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan and I think he's going to do pretty good work of positional control, grinding his way into a finishing sequence and probably submitting Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan man. I'll go with the favorite. I'll go Brendan Allen.”
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“Brendan Allen is high level grappling and his striking is competent. I think Brendan Allen is going to win this fight on the floor. I think he's going to take down Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan and I think he's going to do pretty good work of positional control, grinding his way into a finishing sequence and probably submitting Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan man. Brendan Allen submission. Rear naked strangle.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.59
Allen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.95
PC
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to pick Priscilla Priscila Cachoeira to knock Chelsea Chelsea Chandler out. I want Priscila Cachoeira K.O. I think she's gonna knock her out.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.09
→
close$2.07
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
GB
Gabriel Bonfim
v Belal Muhammad
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Gabriel Bonfim
v Belal Muhammad
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I gotta go Bone Fim to get the victory over Belal Muhammad. Man, you know, I just really think Gabriel Bonfim is good in all areas matchup wise against Belal Muhammad. I'm going to go with the bone fim side. Gabriel Gabriel Bonfim gets the victory. I actually think he can showcase some cardio here and potentially win it over five hard. Maybe has some big moments against Belal Muhammad, but doesn't stop him. I'm going to favor Gabriel Bonfim more damage over the 25 minutes. Either a finish at some point throughout the fight. Could be any round genuinely, but I favor two to four or Gabriel Bonfim on the scorecards.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.06
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
YD
Yuneisy Duben
v Jeisla Chaves
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Yuneisy Duben
v Jeisla Chaves
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“go underdog Yuneisy Duben. I'll go Jeisla Chaves, but >> What? After after Jeisla Chaves looked like she versus Yuneisy Duben. It's a cool fight. Yuneisy Duben had a sensational highlight reel actually her best punch. Yuneisy Duben, she hits Yuneisy Duben also coming off that bad knockout Yuneisy Duben is is a big ass right hand. And too. Yuneisy Duben, put her ass out. She's in Could that be enough to beat Yuneisy Duben? Yes, Yuneisy Duben's not that dynamic. Not that good. I'm looking at Yuneisy Duben's strike, bro. She and and Yuneisy Duben carries her hands low. picking a plus 300 dog. Yuneisy Duben by Yuneisy Duben throws a better right hand than one punch knockout power like Yuneisy Duben's going to go with Yuneisy Duben with the missile. >> Yuneisy Duben is a 3 to one underdog here underdog attack of Yuneisy Duben. I mean, plus to land a big shot. You want to go Yuneisy Duben something down on Yuneisy Duben by KO, but I”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.15
→
close$4.20
Duben’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
FZ
Farès Ziam
v Tom Nolan
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Farès Ziam
v Tom Nolan
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I like the side of Ferez Zam in this spot. I think Farès Ziam has made some crazy improvements over the past few years. I'm gonna go Farès Ziam to get him out of there. I think he's live to stop him. Give me Farès Ziam in a decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.35
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
SL
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm going Santiago Luna by KO. This is a terrible matchup for Bryce Bryce Mitchell. You've got a striking advantage that is as wide as the Pacific Ocean and then you've got a wrestling advantage that should be enough to get Bryce Mitchell away from him. Santiago Luna is a special athlete. I'm going Santiago Luna first round knockout.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.25
→
close$2.20
Luna’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.16
SL
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going Santiago Luna by KO. This is a terrible matchup for Bryce Bryce Mitchell. You've got a striking advantage that is as wide as the Pacific Ocean and then you've got a wrestling advantage that should be enough to get Bryce Mitchell away from him. Santiago Luna is a special athlete. I'm going Santiago Luna first round knockout.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.25
→
close$2.20
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
JC
Jeisla Chaves
v Yuneisy Duben
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Jeisla Chaves
v Yuneisy Duben
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'll say Jeisla Chaves should take home a decision. Jeisla Chaves is a little bit cleaner, a little bit more technically sound. And I think she'll have a speed advantage, too. I'll say Jeisla Chaves should take home a decision.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.32
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
IB
Iwo Baraniewski
v Junior Tafa
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Iwo Baraniewski
v Junior Tafa
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“The pick is Io Iwo Baraniewski finish. Iwo Baraniewski should just go path of, as you would say, least resistance. wrestle, grapple, hit a throw, get on Junior Tafa into the submission. Iwo Baraniewski sub seems like an easy outcome for him. But, you know, he's repping the new Polish power. Is there a chance that he falls in love with the hands a little too much and then goes into a war with Junior Tafa? Even so, I do think Iwo Baraniewski has the precision where he could end up getting a KO.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.28
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
PC
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm going to pick Priscilla Priscila Cachoeira to knock Chelsea Chelsea Chandler out. I want Priscila Cachoeira K.O. I think she's gonna knock her out.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.09
→
close$2.07
Cachoeira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.05