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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown

UFC Vegas 118 Muhammad vs Bonfim Predictions & Betting Breakdown | The Moneyline

ME MMA EXPERTS59% hit
1 month ago 8W–11L · -6.5u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KS Ketlen Souza v Ariane Carnelossi MONEYLINE WON
“Give me Ketlen Souza. I like the Ketlen Souza side with you, bro. I think she's going to look pretty good, you know, in a rematch against a girl that she saw before, but like saw at her best.”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.34
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
YD Yuneisy Duben v Jeisla Chaves MONEYLINE LOST
“Brother, I know the whole world is against me. I realize I'm picking a plus 300 dog. Yuneisy Duben by knockout.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.15 close$4.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JB Joanderson Brito v Jordan Leavitt MONEYLINE WON
“I completely agree. I'm with you on Joe Anderson Joanderson Brito. I just don't trust in Jordan Leavitt's ability to damage opponents and I feel very low confidence in him submitting Joanderson Brito.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.61
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BS Bruno Gustavo da Silva v Édgar Cháirez MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva's going to take it home, man. I feel like Bruno Gustavo da Silva's going to give Édgar Cháirez some problems. He's a little bit faster. I think he's a little bit higher fight IQ, a little bit cleaner with the offensive boxing attack.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.78 close$1.87
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
MM Marcus McGhee v John Yannis MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking Marcus McGhee though. Still John Yannis is good. Like I actually was really impressed by him destroying Jamie NOT_IN_ROSTER_99. He's got heavy hands and you know John Yannis is tough. He brings pressure. He can box a bit. He can make fights dirty. It's just Marcus McGhee seems a slight different caliber of technical chops and also has the athleticism to back it.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22 close$1.24
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell MONEYLINE WON
“I think he should be able to really damage Matt Schnell. I mean, I think Matt Schnell is past his finest hour. We've seen him take a lot of losses and some damage in those fights, too. Alessandro Costa's well-rounded, but he's got powerful stand up, knockout ability for sure. for a good ground game physically very strong and just, you know, he's a primed fighter that's rising right now.”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15 close$1.22
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I think we see Alessandro Costa get the finish probably live for maybe a club and sub actually and some damage done into a submission makes sense to me. Alessandro Costa by sub plus 450 line though. And I don't think that's crazy at all for Alessandro Costa to win by sub.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.15 close$1.22
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.50
BM Belal Muhammad v Gabriel Bonfim MONEYLINE LOST
“I GOT Belal Muhammad, REMEMBER THE NAME MUHAMMAD GETTING IT DONE. I DON'T CARE IF HE'S 40. Belal Muhammad'S CARDIO is good for days. Good for days. I think Belal Muhammad's going to win this fight. I'm going with the slight favorite on Belal Muhammad at minus 125.”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.82 close$1.95
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
BA Brendan Allen v Edmen Shahbazyan MONEYLINE WON
“Brendan Allen is high level grappling and his striking is competent. I think Brendan Allen is going to win this fight on the floor. I think he's going to take down Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan and I think he's going to do pretty good work of positional control, grinding his way into a finishing sequence and probably submitting Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan man. I'll go with the favorite. I'll go Brendan Allen.”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.48 close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BA Brendan Allen v Edmen Shahbazyan PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“Brendan Allen is high level grappling and his striking is competent. I think Brendan Allen is going to win this fight on the floor. I think he's going to take down Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan and I think he's going to do pretty good work of positional control, grinding his way into a finishing sequence and probably submitting Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan man. Brendan Allen submission. Rear naked strangle.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.48 close$1.59
Allen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.95
PC Priscila Cachoeira v Chelsea Chandler MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to pick Priscilla Priscila Cachoeira to knock Chelsea Chelsea Chandler out. I want Priscila Cachoeira K.O. I think she's gonna knock her out.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.09 close$2.07
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
GB Gabriel Bonfim v Belal Muhammad MONEYLINE WON
“I gotta go Bone Fim to get the victory over Belal Muhammad. Man, you know, I just really think Gabriel Bonfim is good in all areas matchup wise against Belal Muhammad. I'm going to go with the bone fim side. Gabriel Gabriel Bonfim gets the victory. I actually think he can showcase some cardio here and potentially win it over five hard. Maybe has some big moments against Belal Muhammad, but doesn't stop him. I'm going to favor Gabriel Bonfim more damage over the 25 minutes. Either a finish at some point throughout the fight. Could be any round genuinely, but I favor two to four or Gabriel Bonfim on the scorecards.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.10 close$2.06
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
YD Yuneisy Duben v Jeisla Chaves PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“go underdog Yuneisy Duben. I'll go Jeisla Chaves, but >> What? After after Jeisla Chaves looked like she versus Yuneisy Duben. It's a cool fight. Yuneisy Duben had a sensational highlight reel actually her best punch. Yuneisy Duben, she hits Yuneisy Duben also coming off that bad knockout Yuneisy Duben is is a big ass right hand. And too. Yuneisy Duben, put her ass out. She's in Could that be enough to beat Yuneisy Duben? Yes, Yuneisy Duben's not that dynamic. Not that good. I'm looking at Yuneisy Duben's strike, bro. She and and Yuneisy Duben carries her hands low. picking a plus 300 dog. Yuneisy Duben by Yuneisy Duben throws a better right hand than one punch knockout power like Yuneisy Duben's going to go with Yuneisy Duben with the missile. >> Yuneisy Duben is a 3 to one underdog here underdog attack of Yuneisy Duben. I mean, plus to land a big shot. You want to go Yuneisy Duben something down on Yuneisy Duben by KO, but I”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.15 close$4.20
Duben’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
FZ Farès Ziam v Tom Nolan MONEYLINE LOST
“I like the side of Ferez Zam in this spot. I think Farès Ziam has made some crazy improvements over the past few years. I'm gonna go Farès Ziam to get him out of there. I think he's live to stop him. Give me Farès Ziam in a decision.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.36 close$1.35
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
SL Santiago Luna v Bryce Mitchell PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going Santiago Luna by KO. This is a terrible matchup for Bryce Bryce Mitchell. You've got a striking advantage that is as wide as the Pacific Ocean and then you've got a wrestling advantage that should be enough to get Bryce Mitchell away from him. Santiago Luna is a special athlete. I'm going Santiago Luna first round knockout.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.25 close$2.20
Luna’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.16
SL Santiago Luna v Bryce Mitchell MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going Santiago Luna by KO. This is a terrible matchup for Bryce Bryce Mitchell. You've got a striking advantage that is as wide as the Pacific Ocean and then you've got a wrestling advantage that should be enough to get Bryce Mitchell away from him. Santiago Luna is a special athlete. I'm going Santiago Luna first round knockout.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.25 close$2.20
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
JC Jeisla Chaves v Yuneisy Duben MONEYLINE WON
“I'll say Jeisla Chaves should take home a decision. Jeisla Chaves is a little bit cleaner, a little bit more technically sound. And I think she'll have a speed advantage, too. I'll say Jeisla Chaves should take home a decision.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.32
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
IB Iwo Baraniewski v Junior Tafa MONEYLINE WON
“The pick is Io Iwo Baraniewski finish. Iwo Baraniewski should just go path of, as you would say, least resistance. wrestle, grapple, hit a throw, get on Junior Tafa into the submission. Iwo Baraniewski sub seems like an easy outcome for him. But, you know, he's repping the new Polish power. Is there a chance that he falls in love with the hands a little too much and then goes into a war with Junior Tafa? Even so, I do think Iwo Baraniewski has the precision where he could end up getting a KO.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.30 close$1.28
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
PC Priscila Cachoeira v Chelsea Chandler PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to pick Priscilla Priscila Cachoeira to knock Chelsea Chelsea Chandler out. I want Priscila Cachoeira K.O. I think she's gonna knock her out.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.09 close$2.07
Cachoeira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.05