UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown
The EASIEST Money of 2026 | UFC Fight Night Best Bets & Parlays
E!
Erok !55% hit
4 weeks ago
5W–15L · -8.9u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Moneyline since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$4.25
→
close$4.50
Tafa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.27
→
close$1.28
entry: Hard Rock Bet · best in any region at publish
IB
Iwo Baraniewski
v Junior Tafa
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Iwo Baraniewski
v Junior Tafa
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going Iwo Baraniewski by submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.27
→
close$1.28
Baraniewski’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going with Belal Muhammad by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.95
Muhammad’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'd go Ketlen Souza by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.34
Souza’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.87
BS
Bruno Gustavo da Silva
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Bruno Gustavo da Silva
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go Bruno Bruno Gustavo da Silva, too, man. Minus 135.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.87
→
close$1.87
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.32
Chaves’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.05
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.32
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JL
Jordan Leavitt
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jordan Leavitt
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm taking Jordan Jordan Leavitt, too, man.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“So I'm going with Ketlen Souza. ... Ketlen Souza decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.34
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
MM
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm taking him with take minus 7.5 Marcus McGhee at minus Marcus McGhee KO TKO is plus 135”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.24
McGhee’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MS
Matt Schnell
v Alessandro Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Matt Schnell
v Alessandro Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think Matt Schnell gets it done bro against Alessandro Costa. ... I'm going to go Matt Schnell.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$5.90
→
close$6.25
entry: Betclic (FR) · best in any region at publish
MM
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm just going to go Marcus straight money line just to be safe. ... Marcus Marcus McGhee money line”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.24
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
JT
Junior Tafa
v Iwo Baraniewski
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Junior Tafa
v Iwo Baraniewski
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm picking Junior Tafa. ... I'm going to live bet Junior Tafa KO.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$4.25
→
close$4.50
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
BM
Bryce Mitchell
v Santiago Luna
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Bryce Mitchell
v Santiago Luna
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm going Bryce Mitchell. ... That's an absolute lock. ... first leg of the parlay for me.”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.85
→
close$1.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
PC
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Priscila Cachoeira
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going with Priscila Cachoeira. ... Priscila Cachoeira Money Line”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.07
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to go Belal Muhammad via finish. ... Belal Muhammad Muhammad.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.95
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
ES
Edmen Shahbazyan
v Brendan Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Edmen Shahbazyan
v Brendan Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm gonna be going Edmen Shahbazyan KO TKO. ... I'm taking that.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.75
→
close$2.80
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
ES
Edmen Shahbazyan
v Brendan Allen
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Edmen Shahbazyan
v Brendan Allen
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm gonna be going Edmen Shahbazyan KO TKO. ... I'm taking that.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.75
→
close$2.80
Shahbazyan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.85
FZ
Farès Ziam
v Tom Nolan
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Farès Ziam
v Tom Nolan
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm taking Farès Ziam. ... Farès Ziam, I got free Z minus 7.5”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.35
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish