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UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pereira v Price Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
Pereira 2
1 Price
DW pick Pereira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 32-14 VS 16-10 Price
6'1" height 6'0"
186 lb weight 171 lb
73" reach 76"
32 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 5.2
49% striking accuracy 42%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 5.6
59% striking defence 48%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
59% takedown accuracy 29%
59% takedown defence 52%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira “he has Michel Pereira uh you know he at the end of the day Michel Pereira is the better fighter than um Niko Price but is he going to fight like a fighter or is he going to get dragged into a crazy war jacob thinks he's going to fight like a fighter”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michel Pereira VALUE “i like pereira 8900”
WP We Want Picks picks Niko Price VALUE “my pick is Niko Price i do have niko winning this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Michel Pereira VALUE “i'm gonna go with Michel Pereira though”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira32-14
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Reese Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
Price16-10
L Chiesa Submission · R1 Mar '26
L Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Smith Submission · R2 Jun '25
L Gorimbo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Morono Decision · R3 Jun '24