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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Topuria v Hall
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
M
pick Topuria
pick Topuria
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Topuria 17-0
VS
9-2 Hall
5'7"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
145 lb
69"
reach
70"
29
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.5
strikes landed / min
2.4
54%
striking accuracy
50%
2.3
strikes absorbed / min
1.3
61%
striking defence
65%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
57%
takedown accuracy
9%
84%
takedown defence
0%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
2.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ilia Topuria
“the Ryan Hall Ilia Topuria fight one that i'm super pumped for i got toporia in that one”
MMA EXPERTS picks Ilia Topuria
“the Ryan Hall Ilia Topuria fight one that i'm super pumped for i got toporia in that one”
MW
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Ryan Hall VALUE
“i like that i i think ty's gonna win and like i said you know the odds are always so tight in these EVENT_DETAILS and uh we'll we shall see Gilbert Burns co-main event of the evening taking on Stephen Thompson wonderboy Stephen Thompson now Stephen Thompson uh i'm sorry Gilbert Burns first did just lose to the champ tomorrow oozman before that was a little bit of a two-fight tear there tyrone woodley damien maya um didn't finish tyron woodley did finish damien maya in the first round um a whole lot of grappling bouts to keep him going here but she's got wins over gunner nelson as well i he went yeah i think his last loss was dan hooker but that was down at lightweight and uh makes his way up uh loses camiro gusman in in pretty quick fashion i might add steven winterblake Stephen Thompson you know he's not totally on a tear here but it is a nice two fight win streak jeff neil vincente luke um i believe this is the right fight for him at the right time and if he does win this fight he should probably challenge for the belt after uh colby covington but his two losses you know i i mean it was a decision loss to till and i believe till missed weight in that fight that was 2018. it's just a nice punch that anyone could go get caught with with uh by anthony pettison back in 2019 so interesting uh let's see what the odds have to say oh wow Gilbert Burns is the dog at plus 135 and wonder boy is the favorite at minus 170 and i think that is right okay Dustin Poirier connor the main event of the evening well kids let's see let's see what's up and i'd like to know uh this is working out on twitter or not so oh so it was hilarious my son was just messaging me about uh golf equipment while i was uh trying to do this okay interesting interesting interesting all right so we'll have to rely on the hapsy people main event of the evening kids all right are you ready connor Dustin Poirier part three like i said with ally clinton not so nicey nice um there is no hot sauce and whiskey being exchanged this time i i think and like i said a creepy message from Conor McGregor let's hear this message i think i can get to it here i want to hear the creepy message from Conor McGregor to uh poor a okay so i want to listen let's listen shall we oh donald trump is suing everyone today how about that he's he actually is doing the suing today huh Conor McGregor okay let's see so there was a weird voice thing is it gone already it may be gone no here it is oh lord he is silly hillbilly city hilby or silly city hillbilly but p head i mean NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 would have made more sense is that going to shift the odds in uh anybody's favor i don't think so okay uh let's see here Conor McGregor dan hooker uh those are Dustin Poirier's two most recent wins he hasn't lost a fight since golly 2017 except for the great khabib american menoff beats him you know he made it all the way to third round not the fifth round like the great ally aquinta Conor McGregor Conor McGregor though you know not so much of a stellar record i mean we we think of him as being a world beater but he hasn't won an mma fight since donald cerrone back in 2020 and that was at welterweight and donald you know not at his best form these days okay uh before that he loses to compute de mergament off you know before beating eddie alvarez but like he hadn't beat eddie alvarez since 2016 for the for the belt so interesting here and it's hard to believe we're coming up on five years now five years since uh connor nate diaz fought you're on steroids you're all on steroids all right let's see what the odds have to say because i really don't know i have not checked okay i'm gonna let me refresh him just to make sure because i think it's about even yeah minus 120 even uh plus 100 for connor i would imagine that's kind of one of those things you don't go to the pay or the betting window until closer to this fight because i have a feeling more money will probably come in on Conor McGregor uh making Dustin Poirier a little more of an attractive underdog here at the end so interesting both these guys 32 years old that's crazy uh because you know they got a lot of miles on them and that's it so that's all i got so unless you all have something to say oh i live in vegas bo adams and when a EVENT_DETAILS featuring Conor McGregor it gets nuts well thank you so much for uh for coming by man i was just in vegas a few weeks ago vegas was nuts anyways i mean it was packed you just had to be kind of patient and i guess i i don't know it was a good time though man and uh i enjoyed it i forgot that i still had i lied quinta's uh twitter info on my thing this is what i mean i mean you producer of my own here so i think alan i may start with the video first uh before the call meow podcast which is coming to you soon coming to you soon we're going to be available everywhere podcasts are but thank you beau adams for uh commenting there and i think we're going to let her go here and so until next time i'll be picking fights again enjoy the fights this weekend don't drink and drive and uh yeah wherever you are remember to hit subscribe hit subscribe and uh yeah just a definite reminder there beau adams thank you so much for the compliment he says good show so just remember wherever you are hit subscribe and uh boom the call meow podcast is coming soon it's an honor for me to be uh producing that so until next time like i said shalom please remember to support the podcast by visiting the affiliate links on aaronsaysayswhat.com”
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Ryan Hall VALUE
“i like that i i think ty's gonna win and like i said you know the odds are always so tight in these EVENT_DETAILS and uh we'll we shall see Gilbert Burns co-main event of the evening taking on Stephen Thompson wonderboy Stephen Thompson now Stephen Thompson uh i'm sorry Gilbert Burns first did just lose to the champ tomorrow oozman before that was a little bit of a two-fight tear there tyrone woodley damien maya um didn't finish tyron woodley did finish damien maya in the first round um a whole lot of grappling bouts to keep him going here but she's got wins over gunner nelson as well i he went yeah i think his last loss was dan hooker but that was down at lightweight and uh makes his way up uh loses camiro gusman in in pretty quick fashion i might add steven winterblake Stephen Thompson you know he's not totally on a tear here but it is a nice two fight win streak jeff neil vincente luke um i believe this is the right fight for him at the right time and if he does win this fight he should probably challenge for the belt after uh colby covington but his two losses you know i i mean it was a decision loss to till and i believe till missed weight in that fight that was 2018. it's just a nice punch that anyone could go get caught with with uh by anthony pettison back in 2019 so interesting uh let's see what the odds have to say oh wow Gilbert Burns is the dog at plus 135 and wonder boy is the favorite at minus 170 and i think that is right okay Dustin Poirier connor the main event of the evening well kids let's see let's see what's up and i'd like to know uh this is working out on twitter or not so oh so it was hilarious my son was just messaging me about uh golf equipment while i was uh trying to do this okay interesting interesting interesting all right so we'll have to rely on the hapsy people main event of the evening kids all right are you ready connor Dustin Poirier part three like i said with ally clinton not so nicey nice um there is no hot sauce and whiskey being exchanged this time i i think and like i said a creepy message from Conor McGregor let's hear this message i think i can get to it here i want to hear the creepy message from Conor McGregor to uh poor a okay so i want to listen let's listen shall we oh donald trump is suing everyone today how about that he's he actually is doing the suing today huh Conor McGregor okay let's see so there was a weird voice thing is it gone already it may be gone no here it is oh lord he is silly hillbilly city hilby or silly city hillbilly but p head i mean NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 would have made more sense is that going to shift the odds in uh anybody's favor i don't think so okay uh let's see here Conor McGregor dan hooker uh those are Dustin Poirier's two most recent wins he hasn't lost a fight since golly 2017 except for the great khabib american menoff beats him you know he made it all the way to third round not the fifth round like the great ally aquinta Conor McGregor Conor McGregor though you know not so much of a stellar record i mean we we think of him as being a world beater but he hasn't won an mma fight since donald cerrone back in 2020 and that was at welterweight and donald you know not at his best form these days okay uh before that he loses to compute de mergament off you know before beating eddie alvarez but like he hadn't beat eddie alvarez since 2016 for the for the belt so interesting here and it's hard to believe we're coming up on five years now five years since uh connor nate diaz fought you're on steroids you're all on steroids all right let's see what the odds have to say because i really don't know i have not checked okay i'm gonna let me refresh him just to make sure because i think it's about even yeah minus 120 even uh plus 100 for connor i would imagine that's kind of one of those things you don't go to the pay or the betting window until closer to this fight because i have a feeling more money will probably come in on Conor McGregor uh making Dustin Poirier a little more of an attractive underdog here at the end so interesting both these guys 32 years old that's crazy uh because you know they got a lot of miles on them and that's it so that's all i got so unless you all have something to say oh i live in vegas bo adams and when a EVENT_DETAILS featuring Conor McGregor it gets nuts well thank you so much for uh for coming by man i was just in vegas a few weeks ago vegas was nuts anyways i mean it was packed you just had to be kind of patient and i guess i i don't know it was a good time though man and uh i enjoyed it i forgot that i still had i lied quinta's uh twitter info on my thing this is what i mean i mean you producer of my own here so i think alan i may start with the video first uh before the call meow podcast which is coming to you soon coming to you soon we're going to be available everywhere podcasts are but thank you beau adams for uh commenting there and i think we're going to let her go here and so until next time i'll be picking fights again enjoy the fights this weekend don't drink and drive and uh yeah wherever you are remember to hit subscribe hit subscribe and uh yeah just a definite reminder there beau adams thank you so much for the compliment he says good show so just remember wherever you are hit subscribe and uh boom the call meow podcast is coming soon it's an honor for me to be uh producing that so until next time like i said shalom please remember to support the podcast by visiting the affiliate links on aaronsaysayswhat.com”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“there's a lot of opportunities with EVENT_DETAILS but if you get too carried away one of these guys is going to end up losing you just don't want to pick the person that does lose the fight game is crazy it's a risky one maybe you skip the taporia fight um even though i know i'm on best fight odds but i do have to check what Ryan Hall win by submission is at hall to win by a submission plus 505 i'm adding that in for the people that stayed and watched and it won't be in that segment of the EVENT_DETAILS but plus 505 it's always good to sprinkle haul by submission because he's nasty on the ground even though i got toporia probably winning by a ko tko but the plus 185 is not the same value especially in his first huge test overall we have some fun bets some money to be made i would say though first and foremost some action to enjoy i cannot wait for this EVENT_DETAILS.8 versus Conor McGregor 3 card i hope you guys enjoy this video smash that like button as i said need at least 100 100 likes here if you are new to the channel make sure to hit that subscribe button this is the ufc EVENT_DETAILS video we do this every week with all the ufc cards um and i hope you guys enjoy it it's a fairly new series but we've done it several times before let me know in the comments what you guys think of it do you want me to keep it around are you not a fan of it do you just prefer the predictions if you're still looking for the predictions we have full card predictions up on the channel so make sure to check those out as well thank you all so much and i'll see everybody in the next video Ilia Topuria i do believe will be victorious”
MMA EXPERTS picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“there's a lot of opportunities with EVENT_DETAILS but if you get too carried away one of these guys is going to end up losing you just don't want to pick the person that does lose the fight game is crazy it's a risky one maybe you skip the taporia fight um even though i know i'm on best fight odds but i do have to check what Ryan Hall win by submission is at hall to win by a submission plus 505 i'm adding that in for the people that stayed and watched and it won't be in that segment of the EVENT_DETAILS but plus 505 it's always good to sprinkle haul by submission because he's nasty on the ground even though i got toporia probably winning by a ko tko but the plus 185 is not the same value especially in his first huge test overall we have some fun bets some money to be made i would say though first and foremost some action to enjoy i cannot wait for this EVENT_DETAILS.8 versus Conor McGregor 3 card i hope you guys enjoy this video smash that like button as i said need at least 100 100 likes here if you are new to the channel make sure to hit that subscribe button this is the ufc EVENT_DETAILS video we do this every week with all the ufc cards um and i hope you guys enjoy it it's a fairly new series but we've done it several times before let me know in the comments what you guys think of it do you want me to keep it around are you not a fan of it do you just prefer the predictions if you're still looking for the predictions we have full card predictions up on the channel so make sure to check those out as well thank you all so much and i'll see everybody in the next video Ilia Topuria i do believe will be victorious”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“i have ilia winning”
We Want Picks picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“i have ilia winning”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ryan Hall VALUE
“Ryan Hall will find a way to submit this guy”
We Want Picks picks Ryan Hall VALUE
“Ryan Hall will find a way to submit this guy”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Topuria17-0
L
Gaethje
Jun '26
W
Oliveira
Jun '25
W
Holloway
Oct '24
W
Volkanovski
Feb '24
W
Emmett
Jun '23
Hall9-2
W
Minner
Dec '21
L
Topuria
Jul '21
W
Elkins
Jul '19
W
Penn
Dec '18
W
Maynard
Dec '16