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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tavares v Akhmedov Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Tavares 3
1 Akhmedov
HTM pick Tavares
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tavares 21-12 VS 21-6-1 Akhmedov
6'1" height 6'0"
186 lb weight —
74" reach 73"
38 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.0
64% striking accuracy 34%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
54% striking defence 55%
2.4 takedowns / 15 min 2.6
35% takedown accuracy 45%
55% takedown defence 65%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Brad Tavares “i'm going to go with Brad Tavares here and i think he's going to win it by decision 29-28”
WP We Want Picks picks Omari Akhmedov VALUE “i have Omari Akhmedov i'm very confident that he will beat Brad Tavares uh he is an underdog in this spot”
HB Half The Battle picks Brad Tavares VALUE “i am leaning a little bit towards brad tavares” $1.59
HB Half The Battle picks Omari Akhmedov VALUE “so i'm going hu yao zong” $2.20
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brad Tavares “i'm picking brad by a decision in this matchup i think he fends off the takedowns” $1.57
WP We Want Picks picks Omari Akhmedov VALUE “my pick is Omari Akhmedov to win this fight i think he wins a 29-28 decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Omari Akhmedov VALUE “i do think amari machmadoff wins i think he's just so relentless with his takedowns”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brad Tavares VALUE “i have to ride Brad Tavares with a more versatile skill set” $1.57
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tavares21-12
L Anders Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Bryczek KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Meerschaert Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Jun-yong Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R3 Feb '24
Akhmedov21-6-1
L Tavares Decision · R3 Jul '21
W Breese Submission · R2 Jan '21
L Weidman Decision · R3 Aug '20
W Heinisch Decision · R3 Dec '19
W Cummings Decision · R3 Sep '19