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UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Zhumagulov v Rivera Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Zhumagulov 4
1 Rivera
TMDW pick Zhumagulov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Zhumagulov 14-9 VS 10-6 Rivera
— height 5'10"
— weight 125 lb
— reach 72"
37 age 31
Switch stance Southpaw
5.2 strikes landed / min 3.2
43% striking accuracy 33%
5.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
52% striking defence 51%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
19% takedown accuracy 0%
75% takedown defence 40%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov “i believe Zhalgas Zhumagulov is going to get this one done as well”
HB Half The Battle picks Jerome Rivera “i got to go with topora here” $1.40
HB Half The Battle picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov “i see zagat zuma gula out pointing him to a to a probably unanimous decision” $1.29
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov “i do think Zhalgas Zhumagulov at this point in time is the better fighter um but yeah the minus 358 i think that's a little bit too wide considering he's going to have to close the distance he's going to have to take this down to the mat um and stay safe on top but i do think that's august is going to get it done i'm going to say Zhalgas Zhumagulovumu gulab by decision” $1.28
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov “i like zelgus here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov VALUE “i'm going to pick zalga Zhalgas Zhumagulov definitely can strike two both guys decent strikers but much more high level competition on the side of zalgas he actually has a win over alibaba teen off controversial win over tigier ulan bekov Zhalgas Zhumagulov to win this fight decision victory” $1.27
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jerome Rivera VALUE “i'm gonna have to pick the younger yazonghu the underdog in this matchup”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Zhumagulov14-9
L Van Decision · R3 Jun '23
L Johnson Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Molina Decision · R3 Jun '22
L Kape KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
W Rivera Submission · R1 Jul '21
Rivera10-6
L Zhumagulov Submission · R1 Jul '21
L Osbourne KO/TKO · R1 Feb '21
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Jan '21
L Nam KO/TKO · R2 Sep '20