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UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Maia v Eye Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Maia 6
0 Eye
HTMDWW pick Maia
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Maia 21-10-1 VS 15-11 Eye
— height 5'6"
— weight 126 lb
— reach 66"
37 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.9
38% striking accuracy 37%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
55% striking defence 55%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
27% takedown accuracy 40%
58% takedown defence 57%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Jennifer Maia “Jennifer Maia gets this one done by excruciatingly [ __ ] boring and atrocious 30-27 unanimous decision”
HB Half The Battle picks Jennifer Maia “based off how they've looked lately i'ma go with Jennifer Maia” $1.48
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jennifer Maia VALUE “Jennifer Maia matches up so well stylistically against Jessica Eye that i can't not have her as one of the locks of the night she's actually decent value at -172” $1.58
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jennifer Maia “i'm gonna pick Jennifer Maia just based off the fact that hey she probably should go for takedowns and i think if she gets one takedown that's probably all she needs to write out the round but it's hard to be very confident that at all because i could see a scenario where hey she doesn't want to go for takedown she wants to keep it standing for some reason and it goes to decision split decisions but man Jessica Eye should really lose this fight if Jennifer Maia does fight smart i'm gonna say Jennifer Maia wins but yeah just taking a look at it digging into it more seeing that oh she's only attempted four takedowns um gives me serious pause especially considering the minus 200 i never bet that in my life but i will take maya to win but not not too much confidence in that so maya by um decision there” $1.50
WP We Want Picks picks Jennifer Maia VALUE “i do think that uh Jennifer Maia gets this done but i think it's a decision”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jennifer Maia VALUE “i expect Jennifer Maia to to win this fight” $1.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jennifer Maia VALUE “i have to pick against her Jennifer Maia for the victory i believe decision” $1.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Maia21-10-1
L Araújo Decision · R3 Oct '23
W O'Neill Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Moroz Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Fiorot Decision · R3 Mar '22
L Chookagian Decision · R3 Jan '22
Eye15-11
L Barber Decision · R3 Jul '22
L Maia Decision · R3 Jul '21
L Calderwood Decision · R3 Jan '21
L Calvillo Decision · R5 Jun '20
W Araújo Decision · R3 Dec '19