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BEST PRICE Prophecy read du Plessis v Giles Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
du Plessis 3
2 Giles
HDW pick du Plessis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
du Plessis 23-3 VS 16-7 Giles
6'1" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 170 lb
76" reach 74"
32 age 33
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 3.2
53% striking accuracy 54%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
58% striking defence 58%
3.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
45% takedown accuracy 50%
50% takedown defence 72%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “i'ma personally lean towards giles” $1.87
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “give me Dricus du Plessis 8200 i think it's a pretty solid play there”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Trevin Giles “i'm going Trevin Giles and i think he overwhelms Dricus du Plessis i'm going decision win for uh Dricus du Plessis Dricus du Plessis or excuse me for Trevin Giles” $2.00
WP We Want Picks picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “i really like um driskus in this fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Trevin Giles VALUE “i'm going to pick him here in the spot”
Recent form last five, most recent first
du Plessis23-3
L Chimaev Decision · R5 Aug '25
W Strickland Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Adesanya Submission · R4 Aug '24
W Strickland Decision · R5 Jan '24
W Whittaker KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
Giles16-7
L Malott Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Prates KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Bonfim Submission · R1 Jul '23
W Parsons Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Cosce Decision · R3 Sep '22