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UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
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KC SS Chimaev vs StricklandFight Card · Middleweight JV TT Van vs TairaFight Card · Flyweight AV WC Volkov vs Cortes-AcostaFight Card · Heavyweight SB JB Brady vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight KG JS Green vs StephensFight Card · Catchweight AG OD Gautier vs DiazPreliminary Card · Middleweight JÁ YA Álvarez vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight GD MR Dawson vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight JM JG Miller vs GordonPreliminary Card · Lightweight RK MT Kopylov vs TulioEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight PS WG Sabatini vs GomisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BS DS Susurkaev vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight CC JO Carpenter vs OchoaEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Volkov over Cortes-Acosta · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.66 DraftKings pays above fair $1.80
Where to back Volkov best price · region · EV vs fair $1.66
US DraftKings $1.80 +8%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.75 +5%
EU NordicBet $1.74 +5%
AU TABtouch $1.73 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.75
Consensus112 picks · conf 91/99
Volkov 70
42 Cortes-Acosta
FMDWBC pick Volkov
How it endsmethod calls · Volkov · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $49.87
Decision 29 $1.72
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Volkov 39-11 VS 17-2 Cortes-Acosta
6'7" height 6'4"
261 lb weight 262 lb
80" reach 78"
37 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 5.9
57% striking accuracy 65%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
55% striking defence 52%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
63% takedown accuracy 69%
73% takedown defence 63%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market60% vs 56%
Consensus70 of 112 analysts
Sharpest angleVolkov by Decision — 29 of 30 method calls
Recommendation Back Volkov @ $1.80 · fair $1.66 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PI PickemMMA picks Alexander Volkov “I'm going to go to Alexander Volkov in this one. I've been of a striker as Alexander Volkov ... I'm going to go with Alexander Volkov on this one.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Alexander Volkov “I got Alexander Volkov, tea, King Green, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, and Joaquin Buckley.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE “I'm going Waldo Cortes-Acosta for this one” $2.24
KO Kyle OHare picks Alexander Volkov “I got Alexander Volkov winning”
TP The Ranch Boxing & Podcast picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta VALUE “I'm taking the the slight underdog here in Waldo Cortes-Acosta to get the win”
BM Bozing MMA picks Alexander Volkov “Alexander Volkov versus gonna go with Alexander Volkov here by decision.”
RR Rising the Ranks picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “So, I got to go with Waldo Cortes-Acosta here.”
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “So, I think it's about time I pick Waldo Cortes-Acosta think Waldo Cortes-Acosta's been on such a good run. Waldo Cortes-Acosta over Alexander”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Alexander Volkov VALUE “I like Alexander Volkov this week at height and reach advantages for Alexander Volkov... I trust my read on Alexander Volkov here... the play here.” $1.67
RX RX picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “I'm going to go Waldo Cortes-Acosta by decision.”
AM Aniki MMA picks Alexander Volkov “here I'm picking Alexander Alexander Volkov by decision”
HP Honey Badger Hour Podcast picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “going with Waldo Cortes-Acosta for the the kitchen sink on Waldo Cortes-Acosta. ... Waldo Cortes-Acosta via KO”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Volkov39-11
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 May '26
W Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Gane Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Pavlovich Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Tuivasa Submission · R2 Sep '23
Cortes-Acosta17-2
L Volkov Decision · R3 May '26
W Lewis KO/TKO · R2 Jan '26
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Delija KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Pavlovich Decision · R3 Aug '25