MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Choose a fight to analyse
KC SS Chimaev vs StricklandFight Card · Middleweight JV TT Van vs TairaFight Card · Flyweight AV WC Volkov vs Cortes-AcostaFight Card · Heavyweight SB JB Brady vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight KG JS Green vs StephensFight Card · Catchweight AG OD Gautier vs DiazPreliminary Card · Middleweight JÁ YA Álvarez vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight GD MR Dawson vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight JM JG Miller vs GordonPreliminary Card · Lightweight RK MT Kopylov vs TulioEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight PS WG Sabatini vs GomisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BS DS Susurkaev vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight CC JO Carpenter vs OchoaEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Ochoa over Carpenter · Flyweight Our fair value$1.51 Coolbet pays above fair $1.60
Where to back Ochoa best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US BetOnline.ag $1.59 +5%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.58 +5%
EU Coolbet $1.60 +6%
AU TAB $1.55 +3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.64
Consensus96 picks · conf 83/99
Carpenter 23
73 Ochoa
MMKUMM pick Carpenter
How it endsmethod calls · Ochoa · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $22.62
Decision 14 $1.62
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Carpenter 8-2 VS 8-2 Ochoa
5'6" height 5'7"
126 lb weight 125 lb
66" reach 67"
30 age 25
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.8 strikes landed / min 3.3
62% striking accuracy 31%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
49% striking defence 59%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
31% takedown accuracy 0%
50% takedown defence 100%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 62%
Consensus73 of 96 analysts
Sharpest angleOchoa by Decision — 14 of 15 method calls
Recommendation Back Ochoa @ $1.60 · fair $1.51 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IN InsomniaMMA picks Jose Ochoa “I'm just going to have to go with Jose AOA getting this fight done by decision.”
PI PickemMMA picks Jose Ochoa “I think Jose Ochoa should win this fight. I'm actually going to go Jose Ochoa still.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Jose Ochoa “he's not going to win. William loser versus Jose Ochoa.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Jose Ochoa “I'm gonna take him by decision”
KO Kyle OHare picks Jose Ochoa “I'm just going to take the favorite here. We're going to go with Jose Ochoa.”
WP We Want Picks picks Clayton Carpenter “I think Clayton Carpenter wins this fight.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Jose Ochoa “I'll go round two TKO for Jose Ochoa.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Jose Ochoa “I like Jose Ochoa to win this fight and I'm picking him to win this fight by decision.”
RX RX picks Jose Ochoa “I'm going to go Jose Ochoa here. I just think he's better.”
AM Aniki MMA picks Jose Ochoa “I think I'm going to be picking Jose Ochoa to win this fight by 3027 decision”
TG The Fight Guy picks Clayton Carpenter “I'm gonna go with Clayton Carpenter to win this fight.”
RA Rafyyy picks Jose Ochoa “I'm going to stick to Jose Ochoa here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Carpenter8-2
L Ochoa Decision · R3 May '26
L Filho Submission · R1 Oct '25
L Ulanbekov Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Rocha Submission · R2 Oct '24
W Ronderos Submission · R1 Feb '23
Ochoa8-2
W Carpenter Decision · R3 May '26
W Durden KO/TKO · R2 Jun '25
L Kavanagh Decision · R3 Nov '24