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UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
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BEST PRICE We back Kopylov over Tulio · Middleweight Our fair value$2.41 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.63
Where to back Kopylov best price · region · EV vs fair $2.41
US FanDuel $2.62 +8%
UK Virgin Bet $2.50 +4%
EU Pinnacle $2.63 +9%
AU PlayUp $2.60 +8%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.78
Consensus80 picks · conf 79/99
Kopylov 40
40 Tulio
FDMWWC pick Kopylov
How it endsmethod calls · Kopylov · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $3.62
Decision 3 $7.24
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kopylov 14-5 VS 14-2 Tulio
6'0" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 74"
34 age 32
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.2
54% striking accuracy 60%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
58% striking defence 64%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
53% takedown accuracy 55%
87% takedown defence 89%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 2.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market41% vs 38%
Consensus40 of 80 analysts
Sharpest angleKopylov by KO/TKO — 6 of 9 method calls
Recommendation Back Kopylov @ $2.63 · fair $2.41 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IN InsomniaMMA picks Roman Kopylov “just give me Roman Kopylov getting this versus Marco Tulio.”
PI PickemMMA picks Marco Tulio “I'm going to go Marco Tulio on this one. Marco Tulio by I'm actually going to go Marco Tulio. ... I'm picking Marco Tulio”
DC Dougies Corner picks Roman Kopylov “Mr. C is going with Roman Kopylov. Roman Kopylov. I think pa. I'm gonna go with Joshua Van, and Roman Kopylov.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Marco Tulio “I'm going to say Marco Tulio gets this one done”
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Roman Kopylov “going to go with Roman Kopylov to knock out Marco Tulio”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Roman Kopylov “I think Roman Kopylov by KO is the way to play the Roman Kopylov side because he aggressive. So, I think it's Roman Kopylov is Roman Kopylov by KO sitting around plus what?”
RX RX picks Marco Tulio “I'm going to go Marco Tulio here I just think he's better”
AM Aniki MMA picks Marco Tulio “he's going to win by probably a 29-28 decision”
RM Recon MMA picks Roman Kopylov VALUE “give me Roman Kopylov, money line”
AA All in Aidan picks Marco Tulio “give me Marco Tulio. Let's take Marco Tulio by sub as a long shot... I'll lay the chalk on Marco Tulio, but Jared Gordon, I'll take Marco Tulio like Marco Tulio”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Roman Kopylov “give me Roman Kopylov to win. That's going against Marco Tulio.”
CA Casual picks Marco Tulio “I think Marco Tulio's going to be able to get the knockout on Roman Kopylov.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kopylov14-5
W Tulio Decision · R3 May '26
L Rodrigues Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Costa Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Curtis KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
W Almeida Decision · R3 Jun '24
Tulio14-2
L Kopylov Decision · R3 May '26
L Duncan KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Gore KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
W Potieria KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25