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UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
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KC SS Chimaev vs StricklandFight Card · Middleweight JV TT Van vs TairaFight Card · Flyweight AV WC Volkov vs Cortes-AcostaFight Card · Heavyweight SB JB Brady vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight KG JS Green vs StephensFight Card · Catchweight AG OD Gautier vs DiazPreliminary Card · Middleweight JÁ YA Álvarez vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight GD MR Dawson vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight JM JG Miller vs GordonPreliminary Card · Lightweight RK MT Kopylov vs TulioEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight PS WG Sabatini vs GomisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BS DS Susurkaev vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight CC JO Carpenter vs OchoaEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Brady over Buckley · Welterweight Our fair value$1.89 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $2.44
Where to back Brady best price · region · EV vs fair $1.89
US BetOnline.ag $2.44 +29%
UK Virgin Bet $2.35 +24%
EU Coolbet $2.39 +27%
AU Unibet $2.35 +24%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.38
Consensus107 picks · conf 88/99
Brady 62
45 Buckley
MDFMTA pick Brady
How it endsmethod calls · Brady · crowd line
Submission 3 $8.81
Decision 11 $2.40
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brady 18-2 VS 21-7 Buckley
5'10" height 5'10"
169 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 76"
33 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.1 strikes landed / min 4.1
55% striking accuracy 36%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
60% striking defence 57%
3.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
52% takedown accuracy 46%
85% takedown defence 69%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market53% vs 41%
Consensus62 of 107 analysts
Sharpest angleBrady by Decision — 11 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Back Brady @ $2.44 · fair $1.89 +29% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IN InsomniaMMA picks Sean Brady “I will go with Sean Brady by decision”
PI PickemMMA picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm going to go with Joaquin Buckley on this one.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I'm going Joaquin Buckley here” $2.42
KO Kyle OHare picks Sean Brady “I got Sean Brady winning”
TP The Ranch Boxing & Podcast picks Sean Brady “I'm taking Sean Brady to get back in the win column um in a submission”
BM Bozing MMA picks Joaquin Buckley “I'mma go Joaquin Buckley. I'm gonna go Joaquin Buckley here round two or three TKO.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Sean Brady “I think Sean Brady's going to believe that Sean Brady's striking is a submission. So Sean Brady by submission Sean Brady by decision and that's going is Sean Brady's money line at minus Joaquin Buckley is the next fight.”
MB Martial U Breakdown picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm going with Joaquin Buckley on that one.”
RX RX picks Sean Brady “Give me Sean Brady should just do the same thing NOT_IN_ROSTER_107 did.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Sean Brady “be honest with you, I want Sean Brady to win.”
AM Aniki MMA picks Sean Brady “picking Sean Brady to win this fight by round two submission”
TG The Fight Guy picks Sean Brady “Sean Brady's taking to go with Sean Brady to win a decision on Joaquin Buckley baby.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brady18-2
W Buckley Decision · R3 May '26
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Edwards Submission · R4 Mar '25
W Burns Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Gastelum Submission · R3 Dec '23
Buckley21-7
L Brady Decision · R3 May '26
L Usman Decision · R5 Jun '25
W Covington KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Thompson KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '24