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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Maia v O'Neill Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus17 picks · conf 39/99
Maia 7
10 O'Neill
TMCWWS pick Maia
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Maia 21-10-1 VS 10-2 O'Neill
height 5'6"
weight 125 lb
reach 69"
37 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 7.9
38% striking accuracy 52%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.7
55% striking defence 57%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
27% takedown accuracy 34%
58% takedown defence 70%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Casey O'Neill “give me Casey O'Neill and I feel pretty good about it Casey O'Neill and I feel pretty good about it Casey O'Neill and I feel pretty good about it um NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 you first fight but Casey O'Neill just overwhelming the 225 Casey O'Neill just overwhelming the 225 Casey O'Neill just overwhelming the 225 signification three rounds... but I've got Casey O'Neill on the v's metric”
WP We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “Casey O'Neill O'Neill should be able to beat Jennifer Maia Maia on the feet”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jennifer Maia VALUE “I'm going to pick Jennifer Maia to win a unanimous decision” $2.56
PR Premium-Picks picks Casey O'Neill “the clear pick is probably Casey Casey O'Neill to out volume her slightly um I think for sure it goes over I think Maya is extremely tough so I don't see Maya getting finished by any means so Casey O'Neill probably out volumes are”
KU Kunath picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “I think she can take Jennifer Maia down at will”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “love Casey O'Neill there I think she has a ton of upside there”
MW Making the Walk picks Casey O'Neill “would favor King Casey O'Neill on this one”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “I went with Casey”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Jennifer Maia “I'm going with Maya for this one”
NN Noah Nwadei picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “I feel like she can do the same thing to Jennifer Maia I don't see why she can't get this one done”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Casey O'Neill “my picks gonna be Casey O'Neill Casey O'Neill O'Neill to win the match up”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Jennifer Maia “this Jennifer Maia has been fighting forever Jennifer Maia because she is good she's got allows Jennifer Maia to get a position”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Maia21-10-1
L Araújo Decision · R3 Oct '23
W O'Neill Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Moroz Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Fiorot Decision · R3 Mar '22
L Chookagian Decision · R3 Jan '22
O'Neill10-2
W Fernandes KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Santos Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Lipski Submission · R2 Dec '23
L Maia Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Modafferi Decision · R3 Feb '22