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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Wood v Carolina
Women'S Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Wood 17-8
VS
11-5 Carolina
5'6"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
136 lb
65"
reach
69"
40
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
7.1
strikes landed / min
4.9
51%
striking accuracy
51%
4.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.8
51%
striking defence
66%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
55%
takedown accuracy
65%
58%
takedown defence
53%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Joanne Wood
“I am gonna play Joanne Wood and uh I I think I think that Luana Carolina is like she's got the baby giraffe going on uh even at 36 37 the Joanne Wood's gonna be much smoother much faster I just don't see any way Luana Carolina wins”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Joanne Wood
“I am gonna play Joanne Wood and uh I I think I think that Luana Carolina is like she's got the baby giraffe going on uh even at 36 37 the Joanne Wood's gonna be much smoother much faster I just don't see any way Luana Carolina wins”
WP
We Want Picks picks Joanne Wood VALUE
“I think Joanne Wood is just that much better everywhere and she's fighting close to home all that experience only lost to high level people”
We Want Picks picks Joanne Wood VALUE
“I think Joanne Wood is just that much better everywhere and she's fighting close to home all that experience only lost to high level people”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Joanne Wood VALUE
“the difference though is one Hadley's a little bit cleaner of a striker okay so he's he's faster he's a little bit more dynamic Gordon is it's not a bad Striker but he's labored everything is is seems like there's a lot of effort he's always almost like stumbling forward with his uh combinations he's rushing you he's blitzing you he's always off balance uh in the Striking Department he does know that I mean he has good cardio and he knows how to use it and when to use it we saw that with the figareto fight how he just went at him guns blazing he knew to get into his face he knew to do it he knew to press him and he was okay losing that first round because he knew it was going to take uh figuerto's cardio and he did it he did that well now the the issue with Malcolm is he will play off his back a little bit too much he's he's decent Jiu Jitsu is not bad um but he will play on his back when he's there for a while he'll throw arm bars and triangles and sit there he's best at when he gets top position or when he gets the back those are those are his best positions kid wrestling's not bad but it's nothing phenomenal on the other side that we have Jake Hadley who again like I said he's really fast he has almost zero wrestling like negative wrestling but he's not an idiot and he knows that when he's on his back he immediately attacks a go go Plata he immediately takes Oma Plata he starts attacking Jiu Jitsu to scramble and find his way on top which I like then we also saw in his last fight uh even though he lost it against an estimento where in the third round he knew he couldn't be on his back so instead of pulling guard or sitting to his guard or accepting the takedown when NASA Mentor was thrown on him he would attack the guillotine all right and then he came up on top and Nessa Mentos Jujitsu is great and ended up scrambling kind of outscrambling him but I think all things said and done I think that uh the speed and the willingness to the speed of Hadley and the willingness to accept bottom from Malcolm Gordon I think that's going to be the difference in this fight I like Hadley here for the win um you know this is there's a lot of Hometown Favorites here this this card is pretty linear I mean there's not a ton of dogs that are really going to get too much uh too much out of me tonight but uh so Hadley for the win I like it”
Santino DeFranco picks Joanne Wood VALUE
“the difference though is one Hadley's a little bit cleaner of a striker okay so he's he's faster he's a little bit more dynamic Gordon is it's not a bad Striker but he's labored everything is is seems like there's a lot of effort he's always almost like stumbling forward with his uh combinations he's rushing you he's blitzing you he's always off balance uh in the Striking Department he does know that I mean he has good cardio and he knows how to use it and when to use it we saw that with the figareto fight how he just went at him guns blazing he knew to get into his face he knew to do it he knew to press him and he was okay losing that first round because he knew it was going to take uh figuerto's cardio and he did it he did that well now the the issue with Malcolm is he will play off his back a little bit too much he's he's decent Jiu Jitsu is not bad um but he will play on his back when he's there for a while he'll throw arm bars and triangles and sit there he's best at when he gets top position or when he gets the back those are those are his best positions kid wrestling's not bad but it's nothing phenomenal on the other side that we have Jake Hadley who again like I said he's really fast he has almost zero wrestling like negative wrestling but he's not an idiot and he knows that when he's on his back he immediately attacks a go go Plata he immediately takes Oma Plata he starts attacking Jiu Jitsu to scramble and find his way on top which I like then we also saw in his last fight uh even though he lost it against an estimento where in the third round he knew he couldn't be on his back so instead of pulling guard or sitting to his guard or accepting the takedown when NASA Mentor was thrown on him he would attack the guillotine all right and then he came up on top and Nessa Mentos Jujitsu is great and ended up scrambling kind of outscrambling him but I think all things said and done I think that uh the speed and the willingness to the speed of Hadley and the willingness to accept bottom from Malcolm Gordon I think that's going to be the difference in this fight I like Hadley here for the win um you know this is there's a lot of Hometown Favorites here this this card is pretty linear I mean there's not a ton of dogs that are really going to get too much uh too much out of me tonight but uh so Hadley for the win I like it”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Luana Carolina VALUE
“I'm gonna take the underdog here Luana Luana Carolina I'm gonna say that she's a little bit stronger maybe a little bit hungrier I think this fight goes the distance because neither of them have finishing power so I think the safest pick is taking the over um I think it's guaranteed to go over and I'm gonna say Luana Luana Carolina hits a little bit harder she's a little bit younger or a little bit hungrier I'm gonna take the upset Luana Luana Carolina”
Premium-Picks picks Luana Carolina VALUE
“I'm gonna take the underdog here Luana Luana Carolina I'm gonna say that she's a little bit stronger maybe a little bit hungrier I think this fight goes the distance because neither of them have finishing power so I think the safest pick is taking the over um I think it's guaranteed to go over and I'm gonna say Luana Luana Carolina hits a little bit harder she's a little bit younger or a little bit hungrier I'm gonna take the upset Luana Luana Carolina”
KU
Kunath picks Joanne Wood VALUE
“higher on strikes for Joanne Wood”
Kunath picks Joanne Wood VALUE
“higher on strikes for Joanne Wood”
BM
Bedtime MMA picks Luana Carolina
“I'm gonna pick Luana Carolina to win this fight”
Bedtime MMA picks Luana Carolina
“I'm gonna pick Luana Carolina to win this fight”
NN
Noah Nwadei picks Luana Carolina
“I'm gonna go with Luana Carolina”
Noah Nwadei picks Luana Carolina
“I'm gonna go with Luana Carolina”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Joanne Wood
“I've got Joanne Wood next oh Joanne Wood... I'm backing the home crowd Joanne Wood... I'm with you as well Joanne Wood”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Joanne Wood
“I've got Joanne Wood next oh Joanne Wood... I'm backing the home crowd Joanne Wood... I'm with you as well Joanne Wood”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Luana Carolina VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog Luana Carolina Luana Carolina Carolina to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Luana Carolina VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog Luana Carolina Luana Carolina Carolina to win this match up”
1M
138 MMA picks Luana Carolina
“I'm taking Atlanta Carolina because she's the younger fighter and I do think that being one and four in your last five just doesn't look good”
138 MMA picks Luana Carolina
“I'm taking Atlanta Carolina because she's the younger fighter and I do think that being one and four in your last five just doesn't look good”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Wood17-8
W
Moroz
Mar '24
W
Carolina
Mar '23
L
Grasso
Mar '22
L
Santos
Nov '21
Carolina11-5
L
Montague
Sep '25
W
Pudilová
Jul '24
W
Stoliarenko
Feb '24
W
Petrović
Jul '23
L
Wood
Mar '23