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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hadley v Gordon Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Hadley 9
2 Gordon
MBSCKW pick Hadley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hadley 11-4 VS 14-8 Gordon
— height 5'7"
— weight 127 lb
— reach 71"
29 age 36
Southpaw stance Switch
3.8 strikes landed / min 2.5
43% striking accuracy 45%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
61% striking defence 43%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
11% takedown accuracy 35%
54% takedown defence 26%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE “I don't hate that play on Malcolm Gordon I think Jake Hadley's gonna win here but I really do like ... and given Malcolm Gordon a shot at 6.9 k for all the reasons”
WP We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE “Jake Hadley should absolutely work Malcolm Gordon Jake Hadley should win inside the distance”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Jake Hadley VALUE “I think that uh the speed and the willingness to the speed of Hadley and the willingness to accept bottom from Malcolm Gordon I think that's going to be the difference in this fight I like Hadley here for the win”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jake Hadley “I'm picking Jake Hadley to win” $1.29
KU Kunath picks Jake Hadley VALUE “lower for Jake Hadley because I think he's going to lean on his grappling a lot and probably find a submission”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Jake Hadley “I'm gonna pick Jake Hadley to win this one maybe submission or probably a decision”
NN Noah Nwadei picks Jake Hadley “I think Jake Hadley gets this one done”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Jake Hadley “Bobby Lashley Jake Hadley Bobby about Jake Hadley I love Jake Hadley”
WP We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley VALUE “I think Jake Hadley beats the crap out of Malcolm Gordon”
WP We Want Picks picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE “I do think Joanne wood wins this fight” $1.53
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jake Hadley “I'm going Jake Hadley Jake Hadley Hadley to get the win” $1.30
WP We Want Picks picks Jake Hadley “Jake Jake Hadley is a play because he is the better fighter of the two”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hadley11-4
L Smotherman Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Loughran Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Johnson Decision · R3 May '24
L Durden Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Gordon KO/TKO · R1 Mar '23
Gordon14-8
L Flick Submission · R2 Jan '24
L Hadley KO/TKO · R1 Mar '23
L Mokaev Submission · R3 Oct '22
W Bondar KO/TKO · R1 Feb '22
W Figueiredo Decision · R3 Jul '21