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Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
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Nelson vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
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Maia vs O'NeillMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Vettori vs DolidzeMain Card · Middleweight
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Shore vs AmirkhaniPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Duncan vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Ashmouz vs PattersonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Mokaev vs FilhoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Murphy vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Duncan vs TodorovićEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Hadley vs GordonEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Wood vs CarolinaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Herbert vs KleinEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Leroy Duncan v Todorović
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Leroy Duncan 13-2
VS
13-6 Todorović
6'2"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
186 lb
79"
reach
74"
30
age
32
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
4.1
62%
striking accuracy
65%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.1
49%
striking defence
47%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
14%
takedown accuracy
51%
64%
takedown defence
82%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PR
Premium-Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the undefeated guy who throws heat I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan to win uh he has been championed in smaller orgs”
Premium-Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the undefeated guy who throws heat I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan to win uh he has been championed in smaller orgs”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“christianaire I don't contribute to scottarovich and he is minus one ninety”
$1.53
Sherdog.com picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“christianaire I don't contribute to scottarovich and he is minus one ninety”
$1.53
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I was able to grab Christian Leroy Duncan at a minus 205 line I threw four units at it I feel very comfortable that he's gonna get the job done here”
$1.49
Walk The Line MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I was able to grab Christian Leroy Duncan at a minus 205 line I threw four units at it I feel very comfortable that he's gonna get the job done here”
$1.49
WP
We Want Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I think Christian Leroy Duncan is going to win this fight”
$1.48
We Want Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I think Christian Leroy Duncan is going to win this fight”
$1.48
1M
138 MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm going to take Christian Leroy Duncan for the win”
138 MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm going to take Christian Leroy Duncan for the win”
CL
Clenbat picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm going with Christian Leroy Christian Leroy Duncan”
Clenbat picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm going with Christian Leroy Christian Leroy Duncan”
WP
We Want Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“Christian Duncan's the pick”
We Want Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“Christian Duncan's the pick”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Leroy Duncan13-2
W
Dolidze
Mar '26
W
Tulio
Nov '25
W
Anders
Aug '25
W
Pulyaev
Mar '25
L
Rodrigues
Jul '24
Todorović13-6
W
Medina
Sep '25
L
Reese
May '25
L
Abdul-Malik
Nov '24
L
Duncan
Mar '23
W
Wright
Oct '22