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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hardy v Miller Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Hardy 2
10 Miller
DR pick Hardy
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hardy 10-5-1 VS 5-3 Miller
5'4" height 5'7"
124 lb weight 126 lb
64" reach 66"
30 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 3.3
45% striking accuracy 45%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
49% striking defence 32%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
41% takedown accuracy 44%
55% takedown defence 0%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Veronica Hardy VALUE “I'm going with Veronica Hardy here”
WP We Want Picks picks Juliana Miller “the reality is Juliana Miller probably wins this fight and if she does she may score well but I can't justify spending ninety four hundred dollars on somebody with only four professional fights”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Juliana Miller VALUE “I mean Juliana Miller is the a side here but I wouldn't be surprised to see you know uh Hardy actually go out and spoil some parties um I mean Juliana Miller's the smart bet here but we saw it last week the smart bet was JJ Aldrich and Aldritch hit the bed she looked horrible and uh she popped a lot of parlays for a lot of people so I I wouldn't be surprised to see Juliana Miller um you know kind of end up I don't know just not looking great or just hearty looking phenomenal okay so I'm not gonna say bet the house on Hardy but with the time off I don't think she was bad to begin with I think having a a UFC fighter analyst as a coach is really going to help her it's going to help her game plan it's going to help whatever is going on with her I think it her biggest weakness was going to be her wrestling uh both offensive and defensive I mean she had some she had some bad defensive wrestling before but she's explosive and when we saw her even with Jillian Robertson kind of get on top explode up Do the Right Stuff and of course Jillian Robertson won um you know I'm assuming Juliana Miller is going to be the East Side here I'm assuming Juliana Miller is going to get the win but uh I think we've got two kind of Party Busters like we saw with Aldrich last week I wouldn't be surprised to see if this is one of them so don't don't put this in all of your parlays also don't you know one way or the other but wouldn't be a bad idea if you guys like um you know risky for throw some money down on Hardy at plus 360 or plus 400 whatever the Hell she's at right now”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Juliana Miller VALUE “I'm going with Juliana Miller to get the win” $4.50
PR Premium-Picks picks Juliana Miller VALUE “the pick is absolutely going to be Julianna Juliana Miller she'll probably not look the greatest for the first few minutes but her pressure will overwhelm her she will get the body lock she will get a trip and she's either gonna pound on her for three rounds or I think she might even get the finish so probably ground and pound finish”
NN Noah Nwadei picks Juliana Miller VALUE “if I were to be betting on this fight I would go for Juliana Miller”
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Veronica Hardy “we are picking the wonderful lady V and that is that is who we're going with on the first one so I'm really sorry Juliana Miller we could be friends but unfortunately not today today bro”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Juliana Miller VALUE “I'm picking Juliana Miller”
WP We Want Picks picks Juliana Miller “I think that Juliana Miller should win this fight” $1.22
1M 138 MMA picks Juliana Miller VALUE “I'm going to take Juliana Miller possibly by submission but I'm going to take Juliana Juliana Miller to get the win here in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Juliana Miller VALUE “I got Juliana Juliana Miller in this matchup pretty confident I would say confidence level is probably about a seven or eight out of ten”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Juliana Miller VALUE “I gotta take Juliana Juliana Miller uh to get the job done here” $1.25
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hardy10-5-1
W Walker Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Moura Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Aldrich Decision · R3 May '24
W Horth Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Miller Decision · R3 Mar '23
Miller5-3
L Judice Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Petrović Decision · R3 May '25
L Santos KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
L Hardy Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Walker KO/TKO · R3 Aug '22