Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson · Fight IQ

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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Chandler v Ferguson Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99

Chandler 9

4 Ferguson

pick Chandler

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

Chandler 23-10 VS 26-11 Ferguson

5'8" height 5'11"

156 lb weight 170 lb

72" reach 76"

40 age 42

Orthodox stance Orthodox

4.5 strikes landed / min 4.9

50% striking accuracy 45%

4.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.4

43% striking defence 55%

1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.4

37% takedown accuracy 35%

63% takedown defence 66%

0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.9

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Chandler VALUE “i'll predict Michael Chandler to win a decision in what might be another war” $1.30

etoft21 sports picks Michael Chandler VALUE “i'm going to with Michael Chandler by decision plus 250” $3.50

We Want Picks picks Michael Chandler “i do think Michael Chandler wins”

Kunath picks Michael Chandler “i'm gonna go with michael chandler”

Pick Pocket Podcast picks Michael Chandler VALUE “Michael Chandler's gonna probably uh either finish tony or i mean it's gonna be a finish”

Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tony Ferguson VALUE “I have Tony Ferguson picked to win”

Clenbat picks Michael Chandler “Michael Chandler is just gonna outstrike him everywhere outwork him everywhere and it's going to be a little bit of a repeat but i believe worse because Michael Chandler yes he did lose his last two fights but man he has looked so so good in those fights he looked like a champion”