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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Vergara v Rodrigues Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Vergara 2
6 Rodrigues
SK pick Vergara
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vergara 12-6-1 VS 8-4 Rodrigues
5'6" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 67"
35 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 4.6
56% striking accuracy 57%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
53% striking defence 53%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
0% takedown accuracy 22%
60% takedown defence 53%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kleydson Rodrigues VALUE “i think clayton wins a very competitive decision i feel like this is going to be a super close matchup i like clayton for the win” $1.31
KU Kunath picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i actually prefer the C.J. Vergara side of this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i think i like C.J. Vergara here” $4.00
WP We Want Picks picks Kleydson Rodrigues “i think clayton this is this a fight for him to shine” $1.33
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kleydson Rodrigues VALUE “i like clayton rodriguez to win the fight” $1.36
SD Santino DeFranco picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “i like uh vergara here at a volume”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Kleydson Rodrigues “i will go with blagoy ivanov” $1.33
AM Artem MMA picks Kleydson Rodrigues VALUE “i think laser rodriguez is going to win a decision on this one here over C.J. Vergara” $1.36
KU Kunath picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “the pick for me in this fight is C.J. Vergara by decision”
TF The ICE Files picks Kleydson Rodrigues “i'm gonna take Kleydson Rodrigues on this one”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Kleydson Rodrigues “played some Kleydson Rodrigues 29-28 winning the first two rounds on his unorthodoxy and his power”
AM Artem MMA picks Kleydson Rodrigues “i'm picking Kleydson Rodrigues to win this one here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vergara12-6-1
L Cháirez Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Temirov KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Almabayev Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Salvador Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Mar '23
Rodrigues8-4
L Heili Decision · R3 May '24
L Basharat Submission · R1 Sep '23
W Ross KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
L Vergara Decision · R3 May '22