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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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CO JG Oliveira vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight CE RN Esparza vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MC TF Chandler vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight OP MR Preux vs RuaMain Card · Light Heavyweight RB KW Brown vs WilliamsMain Card · Welterweight FT DR Trinaldo vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MC ND Chiasson vs DumontPreliminary Card · Catchweight BR MS Royval vs SchnellPreliminary Card · Flyweight BI ML Ivanov vs LimaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AF CV Fialho vs VanCampEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight TC MG Cortez vs GattoEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CV KR Vergara vs RodriguesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight LG AC Godinez vs CarnelossiEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JN FG Newson vs GarciaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Saint Preux v Rua Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Saint Preux 5
4 Rua
HADWD pick Saint Preux
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Saint Preux 27-18 VS 27-14-1 Rua
6'3" height —
205 lb weight —
80" reach —
43 age 44
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.6
47% striking accuracy 50%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
47% striking defence 54%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
36% takedown accuracy 48%
67% takedown defence 49%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ES etoft21 sports picks Maurício Rua VALUE “my favorite pick is on the prelim but uh one of my favorite picks on the main card is going to be Maurício Rua”
WP We Want Picks picks Ovince Saint Preux “i think oven say pru wins”
KU Kunath picks Maurício Rua VALUE “i'm going to go with Maurício Rua”
DS Dynes Sports picks Ovince Saint Preux “I'm taking Ovince Saint Preux in this fight ... would probably be to catch Ovince Saint Preux with the yeah so Ovince Saint Preux's to pick here”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Maurício Rua VALUE “we all got Maurício Rua for that one”
HB Half The Battle picks Ovince Saint Preux “i think he's gonna be able to have a lot of success” $1.40
HB Half The Battle picks Maurício Rua VALUE “i'm picking Maurício Rua to win this fight” $3.05
CM Cyclone MMA picks Maurício Rua VALUE “i see Maurício Rua getting a submission victory”
WP We Want Picks picks Ovince Saint Preux “so you know oven saint prue is the pick” $1.40
KU Kunath picks Maurício Rua “the pick for me is mauricio Maurício Rua huwa by split decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ovince Saint Preux VALUE “i think he rolls through Maurício Rua i really do i think he finishes them early”
AM Artem MMA picks Ovince Saint Preux “i am going with Ovince Saint Preux in this one here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Saint Preux27-18
L Spann Submission · R1 Oct '24
W Nzechukwu Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Lins KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
W Rua Decision · R3 May '22
L Boser KO/TKO · R2 Jun '21
Rua27-14-1
L Potieria KO/TKO · R1 Jan '23
L Preux Decision · R3 May '22
L Craig KO/TKO · R2 Nov '20
W Nogueira Decision · R3 Jul '20
W Pedro KO/TKO · R3 Dec '18