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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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CO JG Oliveira vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight CE RN Esparza vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MC TF Chandler vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight OP MR Preux vs RuaMain Card · Light Heavyweight RB KW Brown vs WilliamsMain Card · Welterweight FT DR Trinaldo vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MC ND Chiasson vs DumontPreliminary Card · Catchweight BR MS Royval vs SchnellPreliminary Card · Flyweight BI ML Ivanov vs LimaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AF CV Fialho vs VanCampEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight TC MG Cortez vs GattoEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CV KR Vergara vs RodriguesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight LG AC Godinez vs CarnelossiEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JN FG Newson vs GarciaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Chiasson v Dumont Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Chiasson 2
6 Dumont
AK pick Chiasson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Chiasson 11-6 VS 13-2 Dumont
5'11" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 136 lb
72" reach 67"
34 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.9
58% striking accuracy 50%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
56% striking defence 65%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
57% takedown accuracy 56%
69% takedown defence 72%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Norma Dumont “i do think Norma Dumont win a decision in a somewhat uneventful bout” $1.46
ES etoft21 sports picks Norma Dumont VALUE “Norma Dumont's win by decision and even money”
WP We Want Picks picks Norma Dumont VALUE “i do think Norma Dumont wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Norma Dumont VALUE “norma's the pick”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Norma Dumont “i'm picking norma dumont i hate that i'm picking her but i am” $3.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Norma Dumont VALUE “i think norma wins”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Norma Dumont “i like Norma Dumont to win the fight” $1.43
KU Kunath picks Macy Chiasson “the pick for me is norma dumont by decision”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Norma Dumont “i am going to be going with Norma Dumont here uh just picking apart mace's chasson for three rounds”
AM Artem MMA picks Macy Chiasson “i think that we're going to see dumont win this fight here because i think she's going to be a little bit more well-rounded”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Chiasson11-6
L Pérez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Vieira Decision · R3 May '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
W Kianzad Submission · R1 Mar '24
Dumont13-2
L Edwards Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Vieira Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Aldana Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Randamie Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Chandler Decision · R3 Jul '23