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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Royval v Schnell Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Royval 5
1 Schnell
PTDWW pick Royval
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Royval 17-7 VS 17-10 Schnell
5'9" height 5'8"
125 lb weight 126 lb
68" reach 70"
33 age 36
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 4.4
39% striking accuracy 39%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
47% striking defence 55%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
75% takedown accuracy 40%
45% takedown defence 50%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i do like brandon roy val to win this fight”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Brandon Royval VALUE “I'm going to Brandon Royval”
WP We Want Picks picks Brandon Royval “so Brandon Royval is the pick” $1.67
SD Santino DeFranco picks Matt Schnell VALUE “i think danger gets the upset” $3.00
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Brandon Royval “i will take to win the fight uh right now royval is up to the minus 280 range” $1.36
TF The ICE Files picks Brandon Royval “i'm gonna go with brandon roy val on this one”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i think roy val knocks out she's now in the first round at 9 300. sign me up”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Royval17-7
L Kape KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Van Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Taira Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Pantoja Decision · R5 Dec '23
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24