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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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CO JG Oliveira vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight CE RN Esparza vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MC TF Chandler vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight OP MR Preux vs RuaMain Card · Light Heavyweight RB KW Brown vs WilliamsMain Card · Welterweight FT DR Trinaldo vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MC ND Chiasson vs DumontPreliminary Card · Catchweight BR MS Royval vs SchnellPreliminary Card · Flyweight BI ML Ivanov vs LimaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AF CV Fialho vs VanCampEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight TC MG Cortez vs GattoEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CV KR Vergara vs RodriguesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight LG AC Godinez vs CarnelossiEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JN FG Newson vs GarciaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Brown v Williams Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Brown 4
4 Williams
HSKW pick Brown
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brown 20-7 VS 15-5 Williams
6'3" height 6'0"
171 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 77"
35 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 5.8
47% striking accuracy 39%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
54% striking defence 42%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
39% takedown accuracy 0%
70% takedown defence 80%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KU Kunath picks Randy Brown VALUE “we've got Randy Brown”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I think it's gonna be a knockout”
HB Half The Battle picks Randy Brown “i like cerrone in this match” $1.54
WP We Want Picks picks Khaos Williams VALUE “i'm picking Khaos Williams in this matchup” $9.30
SD Santino DeFranco picks Randy Brown “i think Randy Brown is better everywhere”
AM Artem MMA picks Khaos Williams VALUE “i'm picking Khaos Williams by ko” $1.80
KU Kunath picks Randy Brown “my pick for this fight is loopy godinez by decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khaos Williams VALUE “i like me some Khaos Williams”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Randy Brown VALUE “I'm going with Randy Brown, probably by TKO”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brown20-7
L Holland Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Bonfim KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Dalby KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Battle Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Santos Decision · R3 Jun '24
Williams15-5
W Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Gustafsson Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Bonfim Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Bedoya Decision · R3 May '23