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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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CO JG Oliveira vs GaethjeMain Card · Lightweight CE RN Esparza vs NamajunasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MC TF Chandler vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight OP MR Preux vs RuaMain Card · Light Heavyweight RB KW Brown vs WilliamsMain Card · Welterweight FT DR Trinaldo vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight MC ND Chiasson vs DumontPreliminary Card · Catchweight BR MS Royval vs SchnellPreliminary Card · Flyweight BI ML Ivanov vs LimaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight AF CV Fialho vs VanCampEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight TC MG Cortez vs GattoEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CV KR Vergara vs RodriguesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight LG AC Godinez vs CarnelossiEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JN FG Newson vs GarciaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Godinez v Carnelossi Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Godinez 7
0 Carnelossi
eTMSAW pick Godinez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Godinez 0-0 VS 15-4 Carnelossi
— height 5'2"
— weight 115 lb
— reach 61"
— age 33
— stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 2.9
— striking accuracy 39%
— strikes absorbed / min 4.7
— striking defence 45%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.4
— takedown accuracy 55%
— takedown defence 14%
— submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lupita Godinez VALUE “Lupita Godinez i'm going to go win by decision over ariane Ariane Carnelossi here” $1.61
ES etoft21 sports picks Lupita Godinez VALUE “i'm going to take her on the money line” $2.50
WP We Want Picks picks Lupita Godinez VALUE “i think lupita gadinez is the pick here because i think she will have success with the takedowns”
WP We Want Picks picks Lupita Godinez VALUE “i've got to go with Lupita Godinez here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lupita Godinez “i'm going gudina's wins a decision though” $1.62
SD Santino DeFranco picks Lupita Godinez VALUE “i like Lupita Godinez here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Lupita Godinez “i gotta edge Lupita Godinez to win this fight here” $1.56
AM Artem MMA picks Lupita Godinez VALUE “i'm going with a favorite of this one... lupita goudinez” $1.56
AM Artem MMA picks Lupita Godinez “i'm going with Lupita Godinez” $1.56
TG THE MMA GURU picks Lupita Godinez “i'm going to go with Lupita Godinez over Ariane Carnelossi”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Godinez0-0
W Reed Submission · R2 Sep '23
W Ducote Decision · R3 May '23
W Calvillo Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Hill Decision · R3 Aug '22
W Carnelossi Decision · R3 May '22
Carnelossi15-4
L Souza KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Alencar Submission · R3 Nov '25
W Rodríguez DQ · R2 May '24
L Godinez Decision · R3 May '22
W Nunes Submission · R3 Oct '21